Santiago Gimenez

The model rates Santiago Gimenez's performance-implied value at EUR 6.1M-12.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 13.3M-23.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 7.6M-22.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.55x the positional average in the league (896 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

896 (26% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.20

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.28

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

63 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.93 (rank 4)

Team strength (Elo)

1570

Opponent strength

1479

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Moderate

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€7.6M – €22.0M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 16 pts; changed club; league level up (+78 Elo); relative output down 37% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +2% (IQR -38% to +45%).

• ▲Small sample: 896 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.