Youri Baas
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Youri Baas's performance-implied value at EUR 1.6M-10.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 14.2M-26.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 10.6M-30.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 35
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 55.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €18.9M vs market €20.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -16% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2760 (90% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.16
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 56 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1405
- Opponent strength
- 1292
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €10.6M – €30.7M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 23 pts; team strength down (-99 Elo); relative output up 169% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -27% to +23%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 65%–166%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | CB | 31 | 2760 | 90% | 4 | 1 | 0.16 | 0.10 | 1292 | 1405 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | CB | 23 | 2041 | 67% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 1301 | 1505 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie | LB | 27 | 1715 | 56% | 3 | 3 | 0.31 | 0.27 | 1377 | 1336 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | LB | 6 | 185 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1254 | 1593 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Ajax Amsterdam | 8 | 685 | 0 | 0 | 1609 |
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Ajax Amsterdam | 9 | 795 | 0 | 0 | 1536 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Ajax Amsterdam | 6 | 570 | 0 | 0 | 1428 |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | NEC Nijmegen | 2 | 115 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 74 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Ajax Amsterdam | 3 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 1718 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos Senesi Eredivisie · 2021 | 24 | €19.0M | €22.0M | flat |
| Yukinari Sugawara Eredivisie · 2024 | 24 | €12.0M | €5.5M | fell |
| Ferdi Kadıoğlu Super Lig · 2023 | 24 | €17.0M | €25.0M | rose |
| Attila Szalai Super Lig · 2023 | 25 | €14.0M | €1.7M | fell |
| Dodô Premier Liga · 2021 | 23 | €20.0M | €20.0M | flat |
| Devyne Rensch Eredivisie · 2024 | 21 | €10.0M | €8.5M | flat |
| Igor Diveev Premier Liga · 2022 | 23 | €6.0M | €6.0M | flat |
| Vitaliy Mykolenko Premier Liga · 2021 | 22 | €17.0M | €25.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2024 | NEC Nijmegen | Ajax | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Ajax | NEC Nijmegen | Free / loan | €900k |
| 1 Jan 2023 | Ajax U21 | Ajax | Unknown | €700k |
| 1 Jan 2021 | Ajax U18 | Ajax U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Ajax U17 | Ajax U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Ajax Youth | Ajax U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Excelsior Jeugd | Ajax Youth | €56k | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.