Tsuyoshi Watanabe

The model rates Tsuyoshi Watanabe's performance-implied value at EUR 1.3M-6.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.5M-10.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.5M-7.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

2637 (86% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.07

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.04

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

59 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.43 (rank 15)

Team strength (Elo)

1423

Opponent strength

1291

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€3.5M – €7.1M

Trajectory drivers: changed club; league level down (-91 Elo); relative output down 62% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -51% (IQR -61% to -33%).

• ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

82 (DEF)

Relative output kept

65%–166%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

78%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.