Ricardo Pepi

The model rates Ricardo Pepi's performance-implied value at EUR 6.0M-14.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 22.9M-41.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 16.4M-43.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.76x the positional average in the league (1415 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1415 (46% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

1.08

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.39

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

67 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.43 (rank 15)

Team strength (Elo)

1606

Opponent strength

1297

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Moderate

Trajectory

improving

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€16.4M – €43.5M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 24 pts.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -19% (IQR -52% to +3%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 1415 league minutes last season.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

82 (ATT)

Relative output kept

73%–122%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

61%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.