Aurèle Amenda
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Aurèle Amenda's performance-implied value at EUR 1.8M-8.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 6.7M-16.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.8M-22.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 61
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 53.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €11.0M vs market €10.0M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +22% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 21% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1676 (55% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.02
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 53 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1445
- Opponent strength
- 1491
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 21%
- Resale range (24m)
- €5.8M – €22.0M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +26% (IQR -14% to +64%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1676 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | CB | 24 | 1676 | 55% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1491 | 1445 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | CB | 8 | 89 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1376 | 1574 | 0.94 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 223 | 0 | 0 | 1672 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 111 | 0 | 0 | 1419 |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlon Ligue 1 · 2018 | 23 | €6.0M | €6.5M | flat |
| Felix Uduokhai Bundesliga · 2020 | 23 | €6.8M | €10.0M | rose |
| Chadi Riad Laliga · 2024 | 21 | €15.0M | €15.0M | flat |
| Mario Gila Serie A · 2024 | 24 | €13.0M | €30.0M | rose |
| Matija Nastasić Bundesliga · 2017 | 24 | €12.0M | €18.0M | rose |
| Sinaly Diomandé Ligue 1 · 2023 | 22 | €9.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Ruan Serie A · 2023 | 24 | €4.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Soungoutou Magassa Ligue 1 · 2024 | 21 | €8.0M | €17.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2024 | Young Boys | Frankfurt | Free / loan | €9.5M |
| 25 Jan 2024 | Frankfurt | Young Boys | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 24 Jan 2024 | Young Boys | Frankfurt | €9.5M | €5.0M |
| 1 Jan 2022 | BSC YB U21 | Young Boys | Unknown | €25k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | BSC YB U18 | BSC YB U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | BSC YB U17 | BSC YB U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | BSC YB U16 | BSC YB U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.