Konstantinos Koulierakis
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Konstantinos Koulierakis's performance-implied value at EUR 5.4M-26.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 18.9M-32.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 13.9M-36.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 31
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 73.5th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €25.7M vs market €25.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -11% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 10% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2481 (81% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.18
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.14
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 74 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1372
- Opponent strength
- 1498
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- 10%
- Resale range (24m)
- €13.9M – €36.5M
Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-66 Elo); relative output up 79% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +30% (IQR -29% to +74%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | CB | 29 | 2481 | 81% | 4 | 1 | 0.18 | 0.14 | 1498 | 1372 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | CB | 30 | 2470 | 81% | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 1504 | 1438 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | CB | 15 | 1217 | 52% | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.04 | 1300 | 1535 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | CB | 20 | 1737 | 74% | 2 | 1 | 0.16 | 0.10 | 1251 | 1452 | 0.37 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | 149 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 390 | 3 | 1 | 1360 |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Wolfsburg | 3 | 300 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1273 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 5 | 405 | 0 | 0 | 1341 |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 1 | 116 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 6 | 478 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur Theate Serie A · 2022 | 22 | €15.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Issa Diop Ligue 1 · 2018 | 21 | €22.0M | €28.0M | rose |
| Bremer Serie A · 2022 | 25 | €35.0M | €60.0M | rose |
| Nikola Milenković Serie A · 2021 | 24 | €25.0M | €18.0M | fell |
| Cristian Romero Serie A · 2020 | 22 | €13.5M | €48.0M | rose |
| Andrea Ranocchia Serie A · 2013 | 25 | €17.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Jaka Bijol Serie A · 2023 | 24 | €10.0M | €18.0M | rose |
| Arnau Martínez Laliga · 2023 | 20 | €15.0M | €10.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2024 | PAOK | Wolfsburg | €11.8M | €8.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | PAOK Saloniki B | PAOK | Unknown | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | PAOK U19 | PAOK Saloniki B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | PAOK U17 | PAOK U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.