Andreas Schjelderup

22 yrs · Left winger · Norway
SL Benfica · Liga Portugal · Foot: right · Height: 177 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: HighContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€30.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€22.9M – €43.4M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€4.4M – €20.0M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€19.8M – €43.4M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€39.0M – -€2.9M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€22.9M – €43.4M
Model value (performance-implied)€4.4M – €20.0M
Projected value (24 months)€19.8M – €43.4M
Dashed line: current market value (€30.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Andreas Schjelderup's performance-implied value at EUR 4.4M-20.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 22.9M-43.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 19.8M-43.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.82x the positional average in the league (1733 minutes, league coefficient 0.58). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 15

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average71.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeFavorable22.1 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €32.7M vs market €30.0M
Expected appreciationLow-22% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentHighbreakout probability 14%
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.58
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €30.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1733 (57% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.68
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.34
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
72 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.58 (rank 9)
Team strength (Elo)
1634
Opponent strength
1296
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
High
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
14%
Resale range (24m)
€19.8M – €43.4M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 40 pts.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +34% (IQR +6% to +84%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1733 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
58 (ATT)
Relative output kept
71%–130%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
66%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26SL BenficaLiga PortugalLW28173357%760.680.34129616340.58
2024/25SL BenficaLiga PortugalLW2051117%130.700.35136516320.51
2023/24FC NordsjaellandSuperligaLW16115959%230.390.30126014440.48
2022/23FC NordsjaellandSuperligaLW17125163%1010.790.60130413520.47
2022/23SL BenficaLiga PortugalLW110%000.000.17123517180.68
2021/22FC NordsjaellandSuperligaLW19124963%310.290.30127212310.45
2020/21FC NordsjaellandSuperligaLW742021%300.640.45123713080.43

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueSL Benfica7422201688
2025/26Uefa Champions League QualifyingSL Benfica3143111514
2025/26World CupNorway311901—
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueSL Benfica7407021701
2023/24Oddset PokalenFC Nordsjaelland634013—
2023/24Supercup Candido De OliveiraSL Benfica11001744
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueSL Benfica11001674
2021/22Oddset PokalenFC Nordsjaelland15400—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Mohammed Kudus
Eredivisie · 2023
23€40.0M€45.0Mflat
Brian Brobbey
Eredivisie · 2023
21€12.0M€22.0Mrose
Manor Solomon
Premier Liga · 2021
22€20.0M€18.0Mflat
Evanilson
Liga Portugal · 2022
23€22.0M€35.0Mrose
Donyell Malen
Eredivisie · 2020
21€25.0M€27.0Mflat
Bertrand Traoré
Eredivisie · 2017
22€8.0M€15.0Mrose
Steven Bergwijn
Eredivisie · 2018
21€12.0M€28.0Mrose
Bernard
Premier Liga · 2016
24€16.0M€16.0Mflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2024NordsjaellandBenficaFree / loan€10.0M
1 Sept 2023BenficaNordsjaellandFree / loan€9.0M
12 Jan 2023NordsjaellandBenfica€9.0M€9.0M
1 Jan 2021Nordsjaell. U19NordsjaellandUnknownData unavailable
8 Jul 2020Bodø/Glimt Yth.Nordsjaell. U19Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.