
Andreas Schjelderup
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Andreas Schjelderup's performance-implied value at EUR 4.4M-20.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 22.9M-43.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 19.8M-43.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.82x the positional average in the league (1733 minutes, league coefficient 0.58). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 15
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 71.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €32.7M vs market €30.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -22% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 14% |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.58 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1733 (57% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.68
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.34
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 72 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.58 (rank 9)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1634
- Opponent strength
- 1296
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- 14%
- Resale range (24m)
- €19.8M – €43.4M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 40 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +34% (IQR +6% to +84%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1733 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 58 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 71%–130%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 66%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | SL Benfica | Liga Portugal | LW | 28 | 1733 | 57% | 7 | 6 | 0.68 | 0.34 | 1296 | 1634 | 0.58 |
| 2024/25 | SL Benfica | Liga Portugal | LW | 20 | 511 | 17% | 1 | 3 | 0.70 | 0.35 | 1365 | 1632 | 0.51 |
| 2023/24 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | LW | 16 | 1159 | 59% | 2 | 3 | 0.39 | 0.30 | 1260 | 1444 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | LW | 17 | 1251 | 63% | 10 | 1 | 0.79 | 0.60 | 1304 | 1352 | 0.47 |
| 2022/23 | SL Benfica | Liga Portugal | LW | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 1235 | 1718 | 0.68 |
| 2021/22 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | LW | 19 | 1249 | 63% | 3 | 1 | 0.29 | 0.30 | 1272 | 1231 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | LW | 7 | 420 | 21% | 3 | 0 | 0.64 | 0.45 | 1237 | 1308 | 0.43 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | SL Benfica | 7 | 422 | 2 | 0 | 1688 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | SL Benfica | 3 | 143 | 1 | 1 | 1514 |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Norway | 3 | 119 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | SL Benfica | 7 | 407 | 0 | 2 | 1701 |
| 2023/24 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Nordsjaelland | 6 | 340 | 1 | 3 | — |
| 2023/24 | Supercup Candido De Oliveira | SL Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1744 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | SL Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1674 |
| 2021/22 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Nordsjaelland | 1 | 54 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammed Kudus Eredivisie · 2023 | 23 | €40.0M | €45.0M | flat |
| Brian Brobbey Eredivisie · 2023 | 21 | €12.0M | €22.0M | rose |
| Manor Solomon Premier Liga · 2021 | 22 | €20.0M | €18.0M | flat |
| Evanilson Liga Portugal · 2022 | 23 | €22.0M | €35.0M | rose |
| Donyell Malen Eredivisie · 2020 | 21 | €25.0M | €27.0M | flat |
| Bertrand Traoré Eredivisie · 2017 | 22 | €8.0M | €15.0M | rose |
| Steven Bergwijn Eredivisie · 2018 | 21 | €12.0M | €28.0M | rose |
| Bernard Premier Liga · 2016 | 24 | €16.0M | €16.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2024 | Nordsjaelland | Benfica | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 1 Sept 2023 | Benfica | Nordsjaelland | Free / loan | €9.0M |
| 12 Jan 2023 | Nordsjaelland | Benfica | €9.0M | €9.0M |
| 1 Jan 2021 | Nordsjaell. U19 | Nordsjaelland | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 8 Jul 2020 | Bodø/Glimt Yth. | Nordsjaell. U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.