Eduard Kozik
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Eduard Kozik's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 70
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 25.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €676k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +2% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2198 (81% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.08
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 26 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1200
- Opponent strength
- 1159
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €469k – €1.7M
Trajectory drivers: role change RB -> CB.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +12% (IQR -26% to +88%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 11 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 108%–176%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 82%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | CB | 26 | 2198 | 81% | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 1159 | 1200 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | RB | 21 | 1837 | 68% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.10 | 1205 | 1186 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | CB | 5 | 342 | 13% | 0 | 1 | 0.26 | 0.06 | 1214 | 1497 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | CB | 3 | 11 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1198 | 1546 | 0.38 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Didyk Premier Liga · 2024 | 22 | €800k | €1.5M | rose |
| Pepe Castaño Super League 1 · 2023 | 25 | €700k | €700k | flat |
| Yevgen Pavlyuk Premier Liga · 2024 | 22 | €800k | €1.5M | rose |
| Daniel Anyembe Superliga · 2020 | 22 | €625k | €350k | fell |
| Lewis Mayo Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 24 | €900k | €600k | fell |
| Yvan Dibango Premier Liga · 2023 | 21 | €500k | €1.5M | rose |
| Robbie Deas Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 24 | €650k | €500k | fell |
| Jordan Premier Liga · 2024 | 25 | €800k | €1.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka | Shakhtar D. | Free / loan | €800k |
| 2 Aug 2024 | Shakhtar D. | Kolos Kovalivka | Free / loan | €600k |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Karpaty Lviv | Shakhtar D. | Free / loan | €600k |
| 14 Feb 2024 | Shakhtar D. | Karpaty Lviv | Free / loan | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Shakhtar U19 | Shakhtar D. | Unknown | €50k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | FC Mariupol | Shakhtar U19 | Free / loan | €50k |
| 22 Feb 2022 | Shakhtar U19 | FC Mariupol | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Shakhtar II | Shakhtar U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2020 | Shakhtar U19 | Shakhtar II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2019 | Shakhtar U17 | Shakhtar U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.