Georges Mikautadze
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Georges Mikautadze's performance-implied value at EUR 12.6M-29.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 23.9M-39.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 15.6M-42.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.15x the positional average in the league (2297 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 38
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 88.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €31.6M vs market €30.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -5% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2297 (67% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.78
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.61
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 89 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1545
- Opponent strength
- 1493
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €15.6M – €42.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 20 pts; changed club.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -27% (IQR -54% to +21%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | ST | 32 | 2117 | 62% | 13 | 6 | 0.81 | 0.61 | 1493 | 1544 | 0.95 |
| 2025/26 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | ST | 2 | 180 | 6% | 1 | 0 | 0.50 | 0.33 | 1383 | 1554 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | ST | 34 | 1434 | 47% | 11 | 6 | 1.07 | 0.65 | 1441 | 1571 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | FC Metz | Ligue 1 | ST | 20 | 1755 | 57% | 13 | 4 | 0.87 | 1.06 | 1483 | 1284 | 0.87 |
| 2023/24 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | AM | 6 | 233 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 1339 | 1439 | 0.48 |
| 2021/22 | RFC Seraing | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 28 | 2304 | 75% | 9 | 1 | 0.39 | 0.53 | 1351 | 1144 | 0.49 |
| 2021/22 | FC Metz | Ligue 1 | ST | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.94 | 1625 | 1308 | 0.86 |
| 2019/20 | FC Metz | Ligue 1 | RW | 1 | 7 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.63 | 1432 | 1345 | 0.82 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Villarreal CF | 7 | 396 | 1 | 0 | 1586 |
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Villarreal CF | 3 | 181 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Olympique Lyon | 11 | 667 | 4 | 5 | 1530 |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Ajax Amsterdam | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1558 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taiwo Awoniyi Bundesliga · 2022 | 25 | €20.0M | €28.0M | rose |
| Omar Marmoush Bundesliga · 2024 | 25 | €22.0M | €50.0M | rose |
| Nico González Serie A · 2024 | 26 | €35.0M | €22.0M | fell |
| Gorka Guruzeta Laliga · 2024 | 28 | €18.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Nacer Chadli Premier League · 2015 | 26 | €13.0M | €15.0M | flat |
| Mario Balotelli Serie A · 2014 | 24 | €30.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Youssef En-Nesyri Laliga · 2024 | 27 | €20.0M | €17.0M | flat |
| Hakan Çalhanoğlu Serie A · 2018 | 24 | €27.0M | €14.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sept 2025 | Lyon | Villarreal | €31.0M | €22.0M |
| 18 Jul 2024 | FC Metz | Lyon | €18.5M | €20.0M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Ajax | FC Metz | €13.0M | €15.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | FC Metz | Ajax | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 4 Jan 2024 | Ajax | FC Metz | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 30 Aug 2023 | FC Metz | Ajax | €16.0M | €10.0M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | RFC Seraing | FC Metz | Free / loan | €2.2M |
| 30 Aug 2021 | FC Metz | RFC Seraing | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | RFC Seraing | FC Metz | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 2 Jul 2020 | FC Metz | RFC Seraing | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | FC Metz B | FC Metz | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | FC Metz U19 | FC Metz B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 6 Jul 2017 | ASSP U17 | FC Metz U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Ol. Lyon Yth. | ASSP U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.