Jorne Spileers
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jorne Spileers's performance-implied value at EUR 2.5M-11.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.8M-5.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.8M-8.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 72
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 58.5th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 21.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €3.6M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very high | +47% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 36% |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1123 (42% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.02
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 59 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1589
- Opponent strength
- 1350
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- 36%
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.8M – €8.7M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 23 pts; relative output down 75% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +63% (IQR +32% to +104%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1123 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 16 | 1123 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1350 | 1589 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 9 | 501 | 19% | 1 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.07 | 1304 | 1552 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 27 | 2065 | 76% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 1366 | 1541 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 8 | 720 | 24% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1229 | 1491 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Club Brugge KV | 4 | 360 | 1 | 0 | 1449 |
| 2025/26 | Volkswagen Supercup | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 87 | 0 | 0 | 1545 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 4 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 1719 |
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Playoff I | Club Brugge KV | 7 | 73 | 0 | 1 | 1431 |
| 2024/25 | Volkswagen Supercup | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1589 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Club Brugge KV | 5 | 450 | 1 | 0 | 1394 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1677 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivier Boscagli Eredivisie · 2020 | 23 | €2.4M | €8.0M | rose |
| Koray Günter Super Lig · 2015 | 21 | €2.6M | €1.0M | fell |
| Djibril Sidibé Ligue 1 · 2014 | 22 | €2.5M | €4.0M | rose |
| Valeriy Bondar Premier Liga · 2021 | 22 | €3.0M | €5.0M | rose |
| Sinaly Diomandé Ligue 1 · 2021 | 20 | €7.0M | €9.0M | rose |
| Ivan Ordets Premier Liga · 2016 | 24 | €2.0M | €3.5M | rose |
| Tiago Djaló Ligue 1 · 2021 | 21 | €5.0M | €16.0M | rose |
| Nicolas Isimat-Mirin Eredivisie · 2016 | 25 | €3.0M | €4.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2023 | Club NXT | Club Brugge | Unknown | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Club Brugge U18 | Club NXT | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Club Brugge Yth | Club Brugge U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Zulte W. Youth | Club Brugge Yth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.