Pietro Comuzzo

21 yrs · Centre-back · Italy
ACF Fiorentina · Serie A · Foot: right · Height: 188 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: HighContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€18.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€14.0M – €26.0M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€6.0M – €30.0M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€11.0M – €34.8M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€20.0M – €16.0M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€14.0M – €26.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€6.0M – €30.0M
Projected value (24 months)€11.0M – €34.8M
Dashed line: current market value (€18.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Pietro Comuzzo's performance-implied value at EUR 6.0M-30.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 14.0M-26.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 11.0M-34.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 64

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average72.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeFavorable21.4 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €18.3M vs market €18.0M
Expected appreciationHigh+16% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentHighbreakout probability 12%
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.93
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €25.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1696 (50% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.05
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.06
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
72 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.93 (rank 4)
Team strength (Elo)
1506
Opponent strength
1487
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
High
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
12%
Resale range (24m)
€11.0M – €34.8M

Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-74 Elo); relative output up 35% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +45% (IQR +40% to +69%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1696 league minutes last season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26ACF FiorentinaSerie ACB27169650%100.050.06148715060.93
2024/25ACF FiorentinaSerie ACB33219764%100.040.04148615800.99
2023/24ACF FiorentinaSerie ACB4391%000.000.05133115830.98

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingACF Fiorentina2155001212
2025/26Italy CupACF Fiorentina18400—
2024/25Italy CupACF Fiorentina19000—
2024/25Uefa Conference League QualifyingACF Fiorentina143001422
2023/24Italy CupACF Fiorentina1700—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Marash Kumbulla
Serie A · 2021
21€25.0M€8.0Mfell
Odilon Kossounou
Bundesliga · 2023
22€18.0M€25.0Mrose
Evan Ndicka
Bundesliga · 2020
21€22.5M€32.0Mrose
Michael Kayode
Serie A · 2024
20€25.0M€40.0Mrose
Castello Lukeba
Ligue 1 · 2022
20€20.0M€40.0Mrose
Malo Gusto
Ligue 1 · 2023
20€25.0M€35.0Mrose
Alex Telles
Serie A · 2016
24€8.5M€25.0Mrose
Maxence Lacroix
Bundesliga · 2023
23€17.0M€25.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2023Fiorentina U19FiorentinaUnknown€150k
1 Jul 2022Fiorentina U17Fiorentina U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2021Fiorentina Yth.Fiorentina U17UnknownData unavailable
4 Sept 2019Pordenone Gio.Fiorentina Yth.€100kData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Udinese YouthPordenone Gio.Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Pietro Comuzzo · MoneyballAI