Mathys Tel

The model rates Mathys Tel's performance-implied value at EUR 23.8M-39.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 18.0M-33.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 12.4M-36.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.76x the positional average in the league (1342 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1342 (39% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.34

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.39

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

87 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

1.30 (rank 1)

Team strength (Elo)

1564

Opponent strength

1565

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

High

Trajectory

stable

Breakout probability

7%

Resale range (24m)

€12.4M – €36.9M

Trajectory drivers: league level up (+46 Elo); role change LW -> ST.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +46% (IQR -8% to +109%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 1342 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.