Alisson Santos

The model rates Alisson Santos's performance-implied value at EUR 3.2M-19.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 21.4M-41.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 15.0M-43.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.70x the positional average in the league (1016 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1016 (30% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.53

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.28

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

66 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.93 (rank 4)

Team strength (Elo)

1625

Opponent strength

1446

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Moderate

Trajectory

insufficient

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€15.0M – €43.7M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -9% (IQR -19% to +59%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 1016 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.