Noahkai Banks
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Noahkai Banks's performance-implied value at EUR 2.2M-13.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 17.7M-31.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 14.6M-47.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 40
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 51.5th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 19.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €26.6M vs market €20.0M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +23% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 29% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1727 (56% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.10
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.08
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 52 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1421
- Opponent strength
- 1467
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 29%
- Resale range (24m)
- €14.6M – €47.9M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +24% (IQR +0% to +126%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1727 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga | CB | 23 | 1727 | 56% | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.08 | 1467 | 1421 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | FC Augsburg | Bundesliga | CB | 8 | 274 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1439 | 1404 | 0.94 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boubacar Kamara Ligue 1 · 2019 | 20 | €18.0M | €37.0M | rose |
| Rayan Aït-Nouri Ligue 1 · 2020 | 19 | €15.5M | €20.0M | rose |
| Calum Chambers Premier League · 2017 | 22 | €14.0M | €14.0M | flat |
| Jeanuël Belocian Ligue 1 · 2024 | 19 | €10.0M | €12.0M | rose |
| Ryan Sessegnon Bundesliga · 2021 | 21 | €18.0M | €18.0M | flat |
| Stanley Nsoki Ligue 1 · 2020 | 21 | €11.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Ismaël Doukouré Ligue 1 · 2023 | 20 | €6.0M | €18.0M | rose |
| Wesley Fofana Ligue 1 · 2020 | 20 | €5.4M | €40.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul 2024 | FC Augsburg II | Augsburg | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | FC Augsburg U19 | FC Augsburg II | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2023 | FC Augsburg U17 | FC Augsburg U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Augsburg Yth. | FC Augsburg U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | TSV Dietm. Jgd. | Augsburg Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.