Anan Khalaili
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Anan Khalaili's performance-implied value at EUR 6.2M-20.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 18.5M-32.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 14.4M-37.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.49x the positional average in the league (2272 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 39
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 65.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 21.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €25.6M vs market €23.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +2% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 11% |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2272 (84% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.12
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 66 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1570
- Opponent strength
- 1368
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- 11%
- Resale range (24m)
- €14.4M – €37.4M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 29 pts; relative output down 25% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +19% (IQR +9% to +46%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Union Saint-Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League | RM | 28 | 2272 | 84% | 2 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 1368 | 1570 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Union Saint-Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League | RM | 24 | 1498 | 55% | 1 | 2 | 0.18 | 0.14 | 1358 | 1545 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Playoff I | Union Saint-Gilloise | 10 | 828 | 1 | 4 | 1441 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 703 | 3 | 0 | 1678 |
| 2025/26 | Volkswagen Supercup | Union Saint-Gilloise | 1 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1552 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Union Saint-Gilloise | 9 | 660 | 0 | 0 | 1516 |
| 2024/25 | Volkswagen Supercup | Union Saint-Gilloise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1557 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Youssouf Fofana Ligue 1 · 2021 | 22 | €16.0M | €25.0M | rose |
| Tonny Vilhena Eredivisie · 2017 | 22 | €9.0M | €14.0M | rose |
| Julian Weigl Liga Portugal · 2020 | 25 | €18.5M | €22.0M | flat |
| Salis Abdul Samed Ligue 1 · 2023 | 23 | €18.0M | €5.5M | fell |
| Leander Dendoncker Jupiler Pro League · 2017 | 22 | €15.0M | €18.0M | rose |
| Alex Teixeira Premier Liga · 2014 | 24 | €17.0M | €18.0M | flat |
| Matheus Nunes Liga Portugal · 2022 | 24 | €35.0M | €50.0M | rose |
| Dmitriy Barinov Premier Liga · 2020 | 24 | €10.0M | €11.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Maccabi Haifa | Union SG | €6.5M | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | M. Haifa U19 | Maccabi Haifa | Unknown | €25k |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.