Prosper Peter
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Prosper Peter's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-7.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 12.4M-28.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 8.0M-30.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.07x the positional average in the league (1266 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 11
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 33.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 18.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very unfavorable | est. €21.0M vs market €15.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -5% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 11% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1266 (41% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.35
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.54
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 33 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1306
- Opponent strength
- 1469
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 11%
- Resale range (24m)
- €8.0M – €30.0M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +58% (IQR +8% to +202%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1266 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Angers SCO | Ligue 1 | ST | 29 | 1266 | 41% | 5 | 0 | 0.36 | 0.54 | 1469 | 1306 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Angers SCO | Ligue 1 | ST | 2 | 25 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.93 | 1595 | 1291 | 0.88 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Kroupi Ligue 1 · 2024 | 18 | €15.0M | €70.0M | rose |
| Moise Kean Serie A · 2018 | 18 | €12.0M | €25.0M | rose |
| Martin Terrier Ligue 1 · 2018 | 21 | €9.0M | €10.5M | flat |
| Elye Wahi Ligue 1 · 2022 | 19 | €12.0M | €35.0M | rose |
| David Datro Fofana Premier League · 2024 | 22 | €12.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Andrea Pinamonti Serie A · 2019 | 20 | €10.0M | €12.0M | rose |
| Jérémie Boga Serie A · 2019 | 22 | €6.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Alan Virginius Ligue 1 · 2024 | 21 | €3.5M | €3.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Angers SCO B | Angers SCO | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Angers SCO U19 | Angers SCO B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Angers SCO U17 | Angers SCO U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.