Dávid Hancko
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Dávid Hancko's performance-implied value at EUR 9.1M-23.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 23.1M-37.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 16.7M-36.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 22
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 90.5th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €29.9M vs market €35.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -33% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2433 (71% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.07
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.06
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 91 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1619
- Opponent strength
- 1474
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €16.7M – €36.6M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 23 pts; changed club; league level up (+174 Elo); relative output down 28% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -53% (IQR -56% to -45%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Atlético de Madrid | Laliga | CB | 30 | 2433 | 71% | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 1474 | 1619 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | CB | 32 | 2880 | 94% | 3 | 2 | 0.16 | 0.08 | 1284 | 1565 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | CB | 34 | 3035 | 99% | 5 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.09 | 1342 | 1593 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | CB | 31 | 2749 | 90% | 2 | 4 | 0.20 | 0.08 | 1335 | 1639 | 0.58 |
| 2018/19 | ACF Fiorentina | Serie A | LB | 5 | 283 | 8% | 0 | 1 | 0.32 | 0.24 | 1552 | 1384 | 0.78 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Atlético de Madrid | 13 | 1111 | 2 | 1 | 1670 |
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Atlético de Madrid | 5 | 440 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Supercopa | Atlético de Madrid | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1747 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 1080 | 1 | 1 | 1680 |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1659 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 6 | 540 | 1 | 0 | 1611 |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 5 | 450 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | 1583 |
| 2023/24 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1649 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 10 | 930 | 2 | 1 | 1503 |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 4 | 368 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | AC Sparta Prague | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1306 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robin Le Normand Laliga · 2024 | 28 | €40.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| Berat Djimsiti Serie A · 2021 | 28 | €22.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Min-jae Kim Bundesliga · 2024 | 28 | €45.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| Pau Torres Premier League · 2024 | 27 | €45.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| Stefan de Vrij Serie A · 2019 | 27 | €50.0M | €50.0M | flat |
| Axel Disasi Premier League · 2024 | 26 | €40.0M | €15.0M | fell |
| Amir Rrahmani Serie A · 2023 | 29 | €25.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Alessio Romagnoli Serie A · 2021 | 26 | €25.0M | €18.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2025 | Feyenoord | Atlético | €26.0M | €30.0M |
| 22 Aug 2022 | Sparta Prague | Feyenoord | €8.3M | €4.5M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Fiorentina | Sparta Prague | €2.5M | €2.7M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Sparta Prague | Fiorentina | Free / loan | €2.7M |
| 3 Aug 2019 | Fiorentina | Sparta Prague | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | MSK Zilina | Fiorentina | €3.8M | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | MSK Zilina U19 | MSK Zilina | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.