Ruslan Neshcheret
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ruslan Neshcheret's performance-implied value at EUR 1.3M-6.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.9M-4.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.5M-4.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Around 18 months left: some discount usually possible.
Bargain Index: 80
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 48.8th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.3M vs market €3.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -11% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2421 (90% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 49 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1324
- Opponent strength
- 1165
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.5M – €4.5M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 46 pts; team strength down (-82 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +47% (IQR +6% to +176%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | GK | 27 | 2421 | 90% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1165 | 1324 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | GK | 13 | 1170 | 43% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1175 | 1406 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | GK | 4 | 360 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1204 | 1458 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | GK | 20 | 1746 | 65% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1277 | 1433 | 0.38 |
| 2020/21 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | GK | 3 | 219 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1393 | 1563 | 0.49 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1376 |
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1523 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 1524 |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 240 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1540 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1786 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arijanet Murić Super Lig · 2022 | 24 | €2.6M | €7.0M | rose |
| Dmytro Riznyk Premier Liga · 2024 | 25 | €7.0M | €8.0M | flat |
| Altay Bayındır Super Lig · 2020 | 22 | €5.4M | €16.0M | rose |
| Ersin Destanoğlu Super Lig · 2021 | 20 | €5.5M | €5.0M | flat |
| Uğurcan Çakır Super Lig · 2020 | 24 | €9.5M | €18.0M | rose |
| Vasilios Barkas Super League 1 · 2019 | 25 | €2.5M | €2.8M | flat |
| Gökhan Akkan Super Lig · 2021 | 26 | €3.0M | €1.6M | fell |
| Odysseas Vlachodimos Super League 1 · 2018 | 24 | €2.5M | €12.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Aug 2020 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Dynamo Kyiv | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2018 | Dynamo Kyiv U17 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.