Bart van Rooij
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Bart van Rooij's performance-implied value at EUR 1.1M-4.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 5.7M-12.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.7M-14.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 56
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 54.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €8.2M vs market €10.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -14% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2928 (96% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.25
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.17
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 55 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1403
- Opponent strength
- 1299
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €5.7M – €14.9M
Trajectory drivers: relative output up 34% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -25% (IQR -51% to +17%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 65%–166%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Twente Enschede | Eredivisie | RB | 33 | 2928 | 96% | 3 | 5 | 0.25 | 0.17 | 1299 | 1403 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | FC Twente Enschede | Eredivisie | RB | 32 | 2854 | 93% | 1 | 4 | 0.16 | 0.12 | 1297 | 1409 | 0.50 |
| 2024/25 | NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie | RB | 2 | 178 | 6% | 0 | 1 | 0.51 | 0.25 | 1452 | 1320 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie | RB | 24 | 1979 | 65% | 2 | 3 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 1343 | 1336 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie | RB | 33 | 2970 | 97% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1355 | 1266 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie | RB | 33 | 2970 | 97% | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 0.10 | 1359 | 1243 | 0.60 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | FC Twente Enschede | 4 | 380 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | FC Twente Enschede | 9 | 840 | 0 | 0 | 1532 |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | FC Twente Enschede | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | NEC Nijmegen | 5 | 480 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 286 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | NEC Nijmegen | 2 | 98 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Muñoz Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 25 | €8.0M | €9.0M | flat |
| Guram Kashia Eredivisie · 2013 | 26 | €5.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Christian Kabasele Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 25 | €6.0M | €7.0M | flat |
| Daryl Janmaat Eredivisie · 2013 | 24 | €5.0M | €7.5M | rose |
| Jeffrey Gouweleeuw Eredivisie · 2015 | 24 | €3.0M | €3.5M | flat |
| Yukinari Sugawara Eredivisie · 2024 | 24 | €12.0M | €5.5M | fell |
| Nick Viergever Eredivisie · 2014 | 25 | €4.0M | €1.8M | fell |
| Sébastien Dewaest Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 25 | €4.0M | €2.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2024 | NEC Nijmegen | FC Twente | €900k | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | NEC U19 | NEC Nijmegen | Unknown | €25k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | NEC U17 | NEC U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | NEC Youth | NEC U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Estria Youth | NEC Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.