Antoine Semenyo
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Antoine Semenyo's performance-implied value at EUR 60.4M-81.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 53.8M-100.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 60.9M-97.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.25x the positional average in the league (3205 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 30
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 98.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €80.0M vs market €80.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -15% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 3205 (94% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.59
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.64
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 99 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1716
- Opponent strength
- 1610
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €60.9M – €97.9M
Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+133 Elo); role change RW -> LW.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +5% (IQR -30% to +32%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | AFC Bournemouth | Premier League | LW | 20 | 1800 | 53% | 10 | 3 | 0.65 | 0.64 | 1610 | 1643 | 1.30 |
| 2025/26 | Manchester City | Premier League | RW | 17 | 1405 | 41% | 7 | 1 | 0.51 | 0.32 | 1601 | 1809 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | AFC Bournemouth | Premier League | RW | 37 | 3210 | 94% | 11 | 6 | 0.48 | 0.44 | 1569 | 1582 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | AFC Bournemouth | Premier League | RW | 33 | 2113 | 62% | 8 | 2 | 0.43 | 0.44 | 1566 | 1496 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | AFC Bournemouth | Premier League | RW | 11 | 251 | 7% | 1 | 0 | 0.36 | 0.66 | 1618 | 1425 | 1.23 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Ghana | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Manchester City | 4 | 177 | 2 | 2 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester City | 2 | 102 | 0 | 0 | 1755 |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | AFC Bournemouth | 4 | 330 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | AFC Bournemouth | 1 | 74 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Bristol City | 2 | 210 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Kane Premier League · 2022 | 29 | €90.0M | €100M | flat |
| Ollie Watkins Premier League · 2023 | 28 | €40.0M | €40.0M | flat |
| Ivan Toney Premier League · 2023 | 27 | €35.0M | €25.0M | fell |
| Mohamed Salah Premier League · 2021 | 29 | €100M | €65.0M | fell |
| Robert Lewandowski Bundesliga · 2013 | 25 | €39.0M | €50.0M | rose |
| Antoine Griezmann Laliga · 2016 | 25 | €70.0M | €100M | rose |
| Timo Werner Bundesliga · 2020 | 24 | €64.0M | €35.0M | fell |
| Bryan Mbeumo Premier League · 2023 | 24 | €35.0M | €55.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2026 | Bournemouth | Man City | €72.0M | €65.0M |
| 27 Jan 2023 | Bristol City | Bournemouth | €10.3M | €3.0M |
| 31 May 2020 | Sunderland | Bristol City | Free / loan | €450k |
| 31 Jan 2020 | Bristol City | Sunderland | Free / loan | €500k |
| 27 Jan 2019 | Newport County | Bristol City | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 18 Jul 2018 | Bristol City | Newport County | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Bristol U18 | Bristol City | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 31 May 2018 | Bath City | Bristol U18 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 20 Jan 2018 | Bristol U18 | Bath City | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.