Alexandros Kyziridis
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Alexandros Kyziridis's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-3.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.5M-3.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.2M-5.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.00x the positional average in the league (2485 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 73
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 28.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.6M vs market €3.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -5% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2485 (84% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.43
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.23
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 29 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1332
- Opponent strength
- 1208
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.2M – €5.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -28% (IQR -35% to +41%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 10 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–107%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 80%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Heart of Midlothian FC | Scottish Premiership | LM | 33 | 2485 | 84% | 4 | 8 | 0.43 | 0.22 | 1208 | 1332 | 0.31 |
| 2019/20 | Volou Neos Podosferikos Syllogos | Super League 1 | LW | 1 | 22 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.52 | 1307 | 1186 | 0.46 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Scottish Fa Cup | Heart of Midlothian FC | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Kypello Elladas | Volou Neos Podosferikos Syllogos | 2 | 129 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oleksandr Pikhalyonok Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €5.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Oleksiy Gutsulyak Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €2.5M | €3.5M | rose |
| Emre Kılınç Super Lig · 2020 | 26 | €4.5M | €3.0M | fell |
| In-beom Hwang Super League 1 · 2023 | 27 | €4.5M | €10.0M | rose |
| Sergiy Buletsa Premier Liga · 2023 | 24 | €2.0M | €500k | fell |
| Anastasios Bakasetas Super Lig · 2021 | 28 | €7.0M | €10.0M | rose |
| Amr Warda Super League 1 · 2021 | 28 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Haris Hajradinovic Super Lig · 2021 | 27 | €3.2M | €2.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Michalovce | Heart of Midl. | Free / loan | €375k |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Debrecen | Michalovce | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2024 | NS Mura | Debrecen | Free / loan | €200k |
| 15 Feb 2024 | Debrecen | NS Mura | Free / loan | €250k |
| 12 Aug 2022 | FC ViOn | Debrecen | Unknown | €325k |
| 16 Aug 2020 | Volos NFC | FC ViOn | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Aug 2019 | Iraklis | Volos NFC | Free / loan | €25k |
| 29 Jan 2019 | Iraklis U19 | Iraklis | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Panetolikos U19 | Iraklis U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | PAE Veria U20 | Panetolikos U20 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | PAOK U17 | PAE Veria U20 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.