Stanislav Agkatsev
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Stanislav Agkatsev's performance-implied value at EUR 3.9M-17.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 8.3M-17.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.4M-21.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 56
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 75.1th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €11.9M vs market €12.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +4% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2700 (100% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 75 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1536
- Opponent strength
- 1332
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €6.4M – €21.6M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +12% (IQR -36% to +38%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 63 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 61%–143%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 60%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FK Krasnodar | Premier Liga | GK | 30 | 2700 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1332 | 1536 | 0.56 |
| 2024/25 | FK Krasnodar | Premier Liga | GK | 30 | 2700 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1295 | 1511 | 0.55 |
| 2023/24 | FK Krasnodar | Premier Liga | GK | 1 | 45 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1239 | 1405 | 0.49 |
| 2022/23 | FK Krasnodar | Premier Liga | GK | 3 | 270 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1361 | 1405 | 0.53 |
| 2021/22 | FK Krasnodar | Premier Liga | GK | 3 | 262 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1281 | 1371 | 0.52 |
| 2020/21 | FK Krasnodar | Premier Liga | GK | 2 | 180 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1346 | 1357 | 0.55 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | FK Krasnodar | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Russian Super Cup | FK Krasnodar | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1478 |
| 2024/25 | Russian Cup | FK Krasnodar | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Russian Super Cup | FK Krasnodar | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1491 |
| 2023/24 | Russian Cup | FK Krasnodar | 7 | 630 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Russian Cup | FK Krasnodar | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Russian Cup | FK Krasnodar | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | FK Krasnodar | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1642 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamil Grabara Superliga · 2024 | 25 | €12.0M | €12.0M | flat |
| Odysseas Vlachodimos Liga Portugal · 2020 | 26 | €12.0M | €15.0M | rose |
| Matz Sels Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 24 | €6.5M | €4.5M | fell |
| Mathew Ryan Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 23 | €7.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Maarten Vandevoordt Jupiler Pro League · 2024 | 22 | €11.0M | €15.0M | rose |
| Jeroen Zoet Eredivisie · 2017 | 26 | €8.5M | €12.0M | rose |
| Aleksandr Maksimenko Premier Liga · 2021 | 23 | €13.0M | €1.8M | fell |
| André Onana Eredivisie · 2018 | 22 | €15.0M | €36.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2022 | Krasnodar 2 | Krasnodar | Unknown | €550k |
| 1 Aug 2020 | Krasnodar II | Krasnodar 2 | Unknown | €225k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | DYuSSh Spartak | Krasnodar II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.