Adrien Truffert
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Adrien Truffert's performance-implied value at EUR 21.4M-45.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 18.5M-43.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 19.6M-40.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 31
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 91.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €32.6M vs market €30.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -6% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 3380 (99% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.16
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.18
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 92 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1643
- Opponent strength
- 1606
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €19.6M – €40.2M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength up (+193 Elo); league level up (+149 Elo); role change LM -> LB; relative output up 86% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +9% (IQR -17% to +49%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | AFC Bournemouth | Premier League | LB | 38 | 3380 | 99% | 1 | 5 | 0.16 | 0.18 | 1606 | 1643 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | LM | 33 | 2756 | 90% | 2 | 2 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 1448 | 1450 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | LB | 30 | 2145 | 70% | 1 | 3 | 0.17 | 0.13 | 1473 | 1507 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | LB | 28 | 1960 | 57% | 0 | 6 | 0.28 | 0.19 | 1439 | 1562 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | LB | 30 | 1636 | 48% | 3 | 3 | 0.33 | 0.22 | 1431 | 1581 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | LB | 29 | 1959 | 57% | 1 | 4 | 0.23 | 0.20 | 1436 | 1445 | 0.75 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | AFC Bournemouth | 1 | 37 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Stade Rennais FC | 8 | 564 | 1 | 0 | 1542 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Stade Rennais FC | 8 | 423 | 0 | 1 | 1525 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Stade Rennais FC | 2 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 1510 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Stade Rennais FC | 5 | 241 | 0 | 0 | 1574 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrick Mitchell Premier League · 2024 | 25 | €25.0M | €25.0M | flat |
| Ben White Premier League · 2023 | 26 | €55.0M | €45.0M | flat |
| Pau Torres Laliga · 2020 | 23 | €16.0M | €50.0M | rose |
| Aaron Wan-Bissaka Premier League · 2021 | 24 | €40.0M | €25.0M | fell |
| Gabriel Premier League · 2023 | 26 | €55.0M | €75.0M | rose |
| Michael Keane Premier League · 2019 | 26 | €30.0M | €25.0M | flat |
| Clément Lenglet Laliga · 2018 | 23 | €25.0M | €48.0M | rose |
| Marc Guéhi Premier League · 2022 | 22 | €32.0M | €38.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Stade Rennais | Bournemouth | €13.5M | €15.0M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Rennes B | Stade Rennais | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Rennes U19 | Rennes B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Rennes U17 | Rennes U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Rennes Jugend | Rennes U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2015 | C'Chartres Jgd | Rennes Jugend | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.