Transfer Finder
“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.
Target: Piero Hincapié · 24 · Left-back · Arsenal FC · est. acquisition €31.3M – €72.2M
Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.
| Player | Similarity | Age | Pos | Market value | Est. acquisition | Model value | BI | Risk | Strengths | Differences |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Maatsen Aston Villa · Premier League | 50% | 24 | LB | €30.0M | €18.8M – €41.5M | €22.2M – €35.0M | 20/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 8% of DEF peers; 547 minutes in continental competition | very similar |
| Milos Kerkez Liverpool FC · Premier League | 43% | 22 | LB | €35.0M | €24.0M – €47.1M | €46.1M – €69.3M | 31/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 4% of DEF peers; Strong for age (23): top 0% of same-age peers | very similar |
| Alejandro Balde FC Barcelona · Laliga | 41% | 22 | LB | €50.0M | €36.3M – €68.4M | €22.7M – €60.0M | 22/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 5% of DEF peers; Strong for age (23): top 1% of same-age peers | weaker league (0.95) |
| Rayan Aït-Nouri Manchester City · Premier League | 40% | 25 | LB | €40.0M | €24.6M – €55.3M | €24.5M – €41.0M | 16/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 7% of DEF peers | 28% of minutes |
| Lewis Hall Newcastle United · Premier League | 38% | 21 | LB | €40.0M | €27.3M – €56.1M | €31.6M – €51.0M | 23/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 6% of DEF peers; Strong for age (22): top 4% of same-age peers | 3 yrs younger |
| Tom Bischof Bayern Munich · Bundesliga | 36% | 21 | LB | €40.0M | €31.6M – €57.9M | €14.3M – €37.8M | 41/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 15% of DEF peers; Strong for age (21): top 8% of same-age peers | 3 yrs younger; weaker league (0.94) |
| James Hill AFC Bournemouth · Premier League | 35% | 24 | CB | €23.0M | €17.1M – €35.2M | €10.9M – €43.9M | 53/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 10% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.46 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | plays Centre-back |
| Josip Stanisic Bayern Munich · Bundesliga | 35% | 26 | RB | €40.0M | €22.4M – €47.8M | €17.2M – €33.1M | 27/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 9% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | plays Right-back; weaker league (0.94) |
| Matteo Ruggeri Atlético de Madrid · Laliga | 34% | 23 | LB | €28.0M | €20.5M – €37.6M | €12.3M – €26.8M | 11/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 17% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | weaker league (0.95) |
| Djed Spence Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League | 34% | 25 | LB | €30.0M | €18.5M – €35.5M | €13.8M – €26.0M | 18/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 11% of DEF peers; 796 minutes in continental competition | very similar |
| Destiny Udogie Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League | 33% | 23 | LB | €30.0M | €20.7M – €40.0M | €15.8M – €25.6M | 9/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 13% of DEF peers | 39% of minutes |
| Raúl Asencio Real Madrid · Laliga | 33% | 23 | CB | €20.0M | €13.8M – €27.4M | €16.5M – €50.7M | 56/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 9% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | plays Centre-back; weaker league (0.95) |
| Sven Botman Newcastle United · Premier League | 33% | 26 | CB | €35.0M | €22.9M – €52.0M | €19.3M – €37.7M | 6/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 6% of DEF peers; 544 minutes in continental competition | plays Centre-back; 2 yrs older |
| Yann Bisseck Inter Milan · Serie A | 33% | 25 | CB | €50.0M | €39.0M – €67.4M | €19.7M – €65.9M | 19/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 3% of DEF peers; 558 minutes in continental competition | plays Centre-back; weaker league (0.93) |
| Fran García Real Madrid · Laliga | 32% | 26 | LB | €10.0M | €4.9M – €12.3M | €11.1M – €29.1M | 40/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 12% of DEF peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 2 yrs older; weaker league (0.95); 27% of minutes |