Petar Sučić
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Petar Sučić's performance-implied value at EUR 7.8M-37.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 30.5M-54.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 25.6M-63.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.52x the positional average in the league (1764 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 29
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 83.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €44.5M vs market €40.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -6% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 10% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1764 (52% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.20
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 83 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1722
- Opponent strength
- 1464
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 10%
- Resale range (24m)
- €25.6M – €63.3M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +6% (IQR -16% to +31%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Limited sample: 1764 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Inter Milan | Serie A | CM | 34 | 1764 | 52% | 2 | 2 | 0.20 | 0.11 | 1464 | 1722 | 0.93 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Inter Milan | 10 | 480 | 1 | 0 | 1639 |
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Inter Milan | 4 | 233 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Croatia | 3 | 198 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Supercoppa Italiana | Inter Milan | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1583 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 265 | 2 | 0 | 1546 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 2 | 167 | 0 | 1 | 1555 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrien Rabiot Ligue 1 · 2017 | 22 | €18.0M | €35.0M | rose |
| Piotr Zielinski Serie A · 2018 | 24 | €32.0M | €32.0M | flat |
| Brahim Díaz Serie A · 2022 | 23 | €18.0M | €40.0M | rose |
| Weston McKennie Serie A · 2022 | 24 | €25.0M | €28.0M | flat |
| Yunus Musah Serie A · 2024 | 22 | €22.0M | €14.0M | fell |
| Tyler Adams Bundesliga · 2022 | 23 | €17.0M | €15.0M | flat |
| Rodrigo Bentancur Serie A · 2021 | 24 | €35.0M | €40.0M | flat |
| Boubakary Soumaré Ligue 1 · 2021 | 22 | €28.0M | €20.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jun 2025 | Dinamo Zagreb | Inter | €14.6M | €14.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Zrinjski Mostar | Dinamo Zagreb | Free / loan | €400k |
| 2 Jul 2022 | Dinamo Zagreb | Zrinjski Mostar | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Din. Zagreb II | Dinamo Zagreb | Unknown | €150k |
| 19 Jan 2022 | Zr. Mostar U19 | Din. Zagreb II | €200k | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Zr. Mostar U17 | Zr. Mostar U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 15 Feb 2019 | Iskra U19 | Zr. Mostar U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.