Brooke Norton-Cuffy
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Brooke Norton-Cuffy's performance-implied value at EUR 3.3M-13.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 12.2M-22.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 8.5M-24.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.95x the positional average in the league (2215 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 35
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 49.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €16.2M vs market €15.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -4% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 16% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2215 (65% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.12
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.21
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 50 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1407
- Opponent strength
- 1496
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- 16%
- Resale range (24m)
- €8.5M – €24.1M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 44 pts; role change RB -> RM.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -27% to +56%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Genoa CFC | Serie A | RM | 27 | 2215 | 65% | 2 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.21 | 1496 | 1406 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Genoa CFC | Serie A | RB | 14 | 721 | 21% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1579 | 1444 | 0.99 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Genoa CFC | 2 | 168 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Youssouf Fofana Ligue 1 · 2020 | 21 | €11.0M | €18.0M | rose |
| Gerson Serie A · 2019 | 22 | €13.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Alberto Grassi Serie A · 2018 | 23 | €7.0M | €5.5M | fell |
| Wylan Cyprien Ligue 1 · 2019 | 24 | €14.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Javi Guerra Laliga · 2024 | 21 | €20.0M | €25.0M | rose |
| Domagoj Bradarić Serie A · 2023 | 24 | €7.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Jeff Reine-Adélaïde Ligue 1 · 2019 | 21 | €11.0M | €22.0M | rose |
| Jean-Victor Makengo Serie A · 2022 | 24 | €7.5M | €6.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2024 | Arsenal U21 | Genoa | €2.0M | €4.5M |
| 31 May 2024 | Millwall | Arsenal U21 | Free / loan | €4.5M |
| 24 Aug 2023 | Arsenal U21 | Millwall | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 31 May 2023 | Coventry | Arsenal U21 | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 6 Jan 2023 | Arsenal U21 | Coventry | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 5 Jan 2023 | Rotherham | Arsenal U21 | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 22 Aug 2022 | Arsenal U21 | Rotherham | Free / loan | €400k |
| 31 May 2022 | Lincoln City | Arsenal U23 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 18 Jan 2022 | Arsenal U23 | Lincoln City | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Arsenal U18 | Arsenal U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Arsenal Youth | Arsenal U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Chelsea Youth | Arsenal Youth | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.