Mohamed Touré
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mohamed Touré's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-1.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 4.8M-16.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.2M-16.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.19x the positional average in the league (1117 minutes, league coefficient 0.47). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 57
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 20.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €8.9M vs market €8.0M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +17% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 28% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1117 (56% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.65
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.60
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 21 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1278
- Opponent strength
- 1279
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- 28%
- Resale range (24m)
- €4.2M – €16.8M
Trajectory drivers: league level up (+45 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -20% (IQR -29% to +23%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1117 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 20 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 78%–121%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 65%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Randers FC | Superliga | ST | 17 | 1117 | 56% | 4 | 4 | 0.64 | 0.61 | 1279 | 1278 | 0.47 |
| 2024/25 | Randers FC | Superliga | ST | 20 | 964 | 49% | 6 | 3 | 0.84 | 0.68 | 1293 | 1276 | 0.38 |
| 2022/23 | Stade Reims | Ligue 1 | ST | 3 | 20 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.45 | 1396 | 1425 | 0.82 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | Randers FC | 2 | 141 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Australia | 2 | 119 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Norwich City | 1 | 29 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | Randers FC | 1 | 45 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konstantin Tyukavin Premier Liga · 2023 | 21 | €7.0M | €16.0M | rose |
| Koki Saito Eredivisie · 2024 | 23 | €4.0M | €3.2M | fell |
| Jackson Muleka Super Lig · 2022 | 23 | €5.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Lyle Foster Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 23 | €9.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Pontus Almqvist Premier Liga · 2022 | 23 | €3.0M | €3.0M | flat |
| Yusuf Sarı Super Lig · 2024 | 26 | €5.5M | €4.0M | fell |
| Konstantin Kuchaev Premier Liga · 2021 | 23 | €5.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Kodai Sano Eredivisie · 2024 | 21 | €4.0M | €12.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | Randers FC | Norwich | €3.0M | €1.7M |
| 17 Jul 2024 | Stade Reims B | Randers FC | €250k | €300k |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Paris FC | Stade Reims B | Free / loan | €300k |
| 3 Aug 2023 | Stade Reims B | Paris FC | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Adelaide United | Stade Reims B | Unknown | €350k |
| 1 Dec 2020 | Adelaide U21 | Adelaide United | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | FFSA NTC | Adelaide U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.