Kike Salas
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Kike Salas's performance-implied value at EUR 5.2M-13.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 10.9M-21.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.6M-20.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 19
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 68.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €14.1M vs market €14.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -24% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2203 (64% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.08
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 69 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1397
- Opponent strength
- 1473
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €6.6M – €20.1M
Trajectory drivers: relative output down 45% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -21% (IQR -43% to +7%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | CB | 26 | 2203 | 64% | 2 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 1473 | 1397 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | CB | 31 | 2237 | 65% | 3 | 2 | 0.20 | 0.18 | 1536 | 1410 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | CB | 23 | 1606 | 47% | 3 | 0 | 0.17 | 0.15 | 1480 | 1475 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | CB | 6 | 369 | 11% | 1 | 1 | 0.49 | 0.20 | 1547 | 1583 | 0.98 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 2 | 180 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 2 | 124 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 3 | 207 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Sevilla FC | 2 | 166 | 0 | 0 | 1670 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Sevilla FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1540 |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 2 | 95 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Brooks Bundesliga · 2017 | 24 | €14.0M | €15.0M | flat |
| Silvan Widmer Serie A · 2017 | 24 | €9.0M | €4.5M | fell |
| Maximilian Mittelstädt Bundesliga · 2020 | 23 | €11.0M | €4.5M | fell |
| Manu Sánchez Laliga · 2023 | 23 | €10.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Davide Zappacosta Serie A · 2015 | 23 | €5.5M | €8.5M | rose |
| Javi López Laliga · 2024 | 22 | €7.5M | €5.0M | fell |
| Saúl Coco Laliga · 2024 | 25 | €8.0M | €7.5M | flat |
| Niklas Stark Bundesliga · 2018 | 23 | €15.0M | €16.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2023 | CD Tenerife | Sevilla FC | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 31 Jan 2023 | Sevilla FC | CD Tenerife | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 1 Jan 2023 | Sevilla Atl. | Sevilla FC | Unknown | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Sevilla FC U19 | Sevilla Atl. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Sevilla FC U18 | Sevilla FC U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Sevilla U17 | Sevilla FC U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Sevilla FC U16 | Sevilla U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Altair U16 | Sevilla FC U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Sevilla FC Yth. | Altair U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.