Nasser Djiga
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Nasser Djiga's performance-implied value at EUR 3.4M-9.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.6M-7.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.8M-9.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 63
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 61.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €5.3M vs market €6.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -1% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1554 (52% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.02
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 61 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1427
- Opponent strength
- 1179
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.8M – €9.4M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +24% (IQR -19% to +94%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1554 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 16 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 90%–275%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 75%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Rangers FC | Scottish Premiership | CB | 20 | 1554 | 52% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1179 | 1427 | 0.31 |
| 2024/25 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Premier League | CB | 5 | 65 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1595 | 1501 | 1.23 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Rangers FC | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1484 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Rangers FC | 6 | 526 | 0 | 0 | 1526 |
| 2025/26 | Scottish Fa Cup | Rangers FC | 3 | 285 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Red Star Belgrade | 8 | 720 | 1 | 1 | 1640 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Red Star Belgrade | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1575 |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1 | 86 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panagiotis Retsos Super League 1 · 2024 | 26 | €2.5M | €7.0M | rose |
| Jayden Oosterwolde Super Lig · 2024 | 23 | €13.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Nuraly Alip Premier Liga · 2024 | 25 | €3.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Rıdvan Yılmaz Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 23 | €5.0M | €5.0M | flat |
| Mark McKenzie Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 23 | €3.5M | €6.0M | rose |
| Joan Sastre Super League 1 · 2023 | 26 | €1.5M | €1.3M | flat |
| Wouter Goes Eredivisie · 2024 | 20 | €5.0M | €15.0M | rose |
| Samba Camara Super Lig · 2021 | 29 | €1.6M | €300k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May 2026 | Rangers | Wolves | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 9 Jul 2025 | Wolves | Rangers | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 3 Feb 2025 | Red Star | Wolves | €12.0M | €7.0M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Basel | Red Star | €4.3M | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Red Star | Basel | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 4 Sept 2023 | Basel | Red Star | Free / loan | €700k |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Nîmes Olympique | Basel | Free / loan | €700k |
| 28 Aug 2022 | Basel | Nîmes Olympique | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Vitesse FC | Basel | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2019 | Unknown | Vitesse FC | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.