Dean Huijsen

21 yrs · Centre-back · Spain
Real Madrid · Laliga · Foot: both · Height: 197 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: HighContract: until 30 Jun 2030
Market value
€60.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€44.6M – €82.2M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€36.2M – €82.1M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€34.1M – €83.8M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€45.9M – €37.5M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€44.6M – €82.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€36.2M – €82.1M
Projected value (24 months)€34.1M – €83.8M
Dashed line: current market value (€60.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Dean Huijsen's performance-implied value at EUR 36.2M-82.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 44.6M-82.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 34.1M-83.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 35

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceElite96.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeFavorable21.2 years
Acquisition costUnfavorableest. €67.8M vs market €60.0M
Expected appreciationNeutral+0% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentHighbreakout probability 5%
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.95
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €70.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2037 (60% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.18
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.09
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
96 (Elite)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.95 (rank 2)
Team strength (Elo)
1745
Opponent strength
1467
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
High
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
5%
Resale range (24m)
€34.1M – €83.8M

Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength up (+163 Elo); league level down (-99 Elo); relative output down 45% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -13% (IQR -22% to -2%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Real MadridLaligaCB28203760%220.180.09146717450.95
2024/25AFC BournemouthPremier LeagueCB32242271%320.190.16157315821.23
2023/24Associazione Sportiva RomaSerie ACB1352115%210.520.19148316180.98
2023/24Juventus FCSerie ACB1120%000.000.08166416210.98

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueReal Madrid9770001648
2025/26Copa Del ReyReal Madrid215500—
2025/26SupercopaReal Madrid176001805
2024/25Fa CupAFC Bournemouth330000—
2023/24Italy CupAssociazione Sportiva Roma18100—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Giorgio Scalvini
Serie A · 2024
21€45.0M€38.0Mflat
Alphonso Davies
Bundesliga · 2024
24€50.0M€40.0Mfell
Thilo Kehrer
Ligue 1 · 2019
23€35.0M€25.0Mfell
Alessandro Bastoni
Serie A · 2022
23€60.0M€70.0Mflat
Achraf Hakimi
Ligue 1 · 2022
24€65.0M€60.0Mflat
Lukas Klostermann
Bundesliga · 2019
23€30.0M€27.0Mflat
Ronald Araujo
Laliga · 2023
24€70.0M€35.0Mfell
Cristian Romero
Serie A · 2021
23€30.0M€60.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jun 2025BournemouthReal Madrid€62.5M€60.0M
30 Jul 2024JuventusBournemouth€22.1M€10.0M
30 Jun 2024RomaJuventusFree / loan€10.0M
6 Jan 2024JuventusRomaFree / loan€2.5M
7 Nov 2023Juve Next GenJuventusUnknown€400k
1 Jan 2023Juventus U19Juve Next GenUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2022Juventus U17Juventus U19UnknownData unavailable
14 Jul 2021Málaga CF YouthJuventus U17€470kData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.