Antonio Nusa
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Antonio Nusa's performance-implied value at EUR 8.8M-33.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 24.8M-45.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 19.0M-52.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.58x the positional average in the league (2040 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 31
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 76.9th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 21.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €33.2M vs market €32.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -11% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 9% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2040 (67% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.31
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.23
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 77 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1568
- Opponent strength
- 1473
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- 9%
- Resale range (24m)
- €19.0M – €52.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -9% (IQR -30% to +84%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga | LW | 31 | 2040 | 67% | 4 | 3 | 0.31 | 0.24 | 1473 | 1568 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga | LW | 25 | 1556 | 51% | 3 | 4 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 1492 | 1533 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 3 | 162 | 6% | 0 | 1 | 0.56 | 0.33 | 1391 | 1552 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 20 | 1008 | 37% | 3 | 3 | 0.54 | 0.33 | 1392 | 1541 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 21 | 549 | 18% | 1 | 1 | 0.33 | 0.21 | 1241 | 1491 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.29 | 1369 | 1512 | 0.49 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | RB Leipzig | 4 | 285 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Norway | 3 | 151 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | RB Leipzig | 8 | 517 | 0 | 0 | 1653 |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | RB Leipzig | 3 | 112 | 2 | 3 | — |
| 2024/25 | Volkswagen Supercup | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1589 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Club Brugge KV | 6 | 305 | 0 | 1 | 1382 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 4 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 1704 |
| 2022/23 | Volkswagen Supercup | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1420 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolò Zaniolo Serie A · 2022 | 23 | €33.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| Alexis Saelemaekers Serie A · 2021 | 22 | €18.0M | €15.0M | flat |
| Julian Draxler Bundesliga · 2017 | 24 | €35.0M | €35.0M | flat |
| Luiz Henrique Laliga · 2023 | 22 | €15.0M | €25.0M | rose |
| Alexander Isak Laliga · 2022 | 23 | €30.0M | €75.0M | rose |
| Simon Adingra Premier League · 2024 | 22 | €30.0M | €22.0M | fell |
| Jakub Kamiński Bundesliga · 2023 | 21 | €12.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Rafael Leão Serie A · 2021 | 22 | €25.0M | €90.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2024 | Club Brugge | Leipzig | €21.0M | €15.0M |
| 31 Aug 2021 | Stabæk | Club Brugge | €5.7M | €400k |
| 6 May 2021 | Stabæk Yth. | Stabæk | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.