Jacobo Ramón

21 yrs · Centre-back · Spain
Como 1907 · Serie A · Foot: right · Height: 196 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: HighContract: until 30 Jun 2030
Market value
€30.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€23.7M – €44.3M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€6.6M – €40.5M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€23.0M – €65.3M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€37.7M – €16.8M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€23.7M – €44.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€6.6M – €40.5M
Projected value (24 months)€23.0M – €65.3M
Dashed line: current market value (€30.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Jacobo Ramón's performance-implied value at EUR 6.6M-40.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 23.7M-44.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 23.0M-65.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 67

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceHigh80.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeFavorable21.5 years
Acquisition costUnfavorableest. €33.5M vs market €30.0M
Expected appreciationHigh+31% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentHighbreakout probability 23%
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.93
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €30.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2743 (80% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.07
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.07
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
80 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.93 (rank 4)
Team strength (Elo)
1589
Opponent strength
1513
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
High
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
23%
Resale range (24m)
€23.0M – €65.3M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +26% (IQR +15% to +54%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Como 1907Serie ACB32274380%200.070.07151315890.93
2024/25Real MadridLaligaCB32036%100.440.07145817640.95

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Italy CupComo 1907541300—
2024/25Copa Del ReyReal Madrid19000—
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueReal Madrid112001552

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Roger Ibañez
Serie A · 2021
23€25.0M€30.0Mrose
Micky van de Ven
Bundesliga · 2023
22€30.0M€50.0Mrose
Dayot Upamecano
Bundesliga · 2018
20€30.0M€45.0Mrose
Alejandro Balde
Laliga · 2023
20€50.0M€60.0Mrose
Kiliann Sildillia
Bundesliga · 2023
21€12.0M€10.0Mflat
Leny Yoro
Ligue 1 · 2024
19€50.0M€50.0Mflat
Boubacar Kamara
Ligue 1 · 2019
20€18.0M€37.0Mrose
Melvin Bard
Ligue 1 · 2022
22€9.0M€12.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
31 Jul 2025RM CastillaComo€2.5M€1.0M
1 Jul 2024Real Madrid U19RM CastillaUnknown€100k
1 Jul 2023Real Madrid U18Real Madrid U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2022Real Madrid U17Real Madrid U18UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2021R.Madrid Yth.Real Madrid U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2013Las Rozas U19R.Madrid Yth.UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Jacobo Ramón · MoneyballAI