Abdoul Ouattara
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Abdoul Ouattara's performance-implied value at EUR 2.4M-11.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 12.1M-28.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 8.1M-28.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 34
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 52.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 20.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very unfavorable | est. €20.6M vs market €15.0M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +21% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 8% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1764 (58% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.15
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.13
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 53 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1502
- Opponent strength
- 1475
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- 8%
- Resale range (24m)
- €8.1M – €28.5M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 43 pts; role change RW -> RB.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +26% (IQR -4% to +108%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1764 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | Ligue 1 | RB | 28 | 1764 | 58% | 2 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 1475 | 1502 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | Ligue 1 | RW | 17 | 462 | 15% | 1 | 1 | 0.39 | 0.41 | 1512 | 1506 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 2 | 108 | 0 | 0 | 1336 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanley Nsoki Ligue 1 · 2020 | 21 | €11.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Jeanuël Belocian Ligue 1 · 2024 | 19 | €10.0M | €12.0M | rose |
| Boubacar Kamara Ligue 1 · 2019 | 20 | €18.0M | €37.0M | rose |
| Tiago Djaló Ligue 1 · 2022 | 22 | €12.0M | €12.0M | flat |
| Kiliann Sildillia Bundesliga · 2023 | 21 | €12.0M | €10.0M | flat |
| Melvin Bard Ligue 1 · 2022 | 22 | €9.0M | €12.0M | rose |
| Malo Gusto Ligue 1 · 2022 | 19 | €12.0M | €35.0M | rose |
| Nehuén Pérez Serie A · 2022 | 22 | €6.0M | €13.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2025 | R. Strasbourg B | R. Strasbourg | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Strasbourg U19 | R. Strasbourg B | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Strasbourg U17 | Strasbourg U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.