Yan Diomande
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Yan Diomande's performance-implied value at EUR 6.8M-71.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 69.0M-128.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 58.4M-128.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.33x the positional average in the league (2483 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 12
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 81.7th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 19.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €111M vs market €90.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -14% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Very High | breakout probability 16% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2483 (81% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.76
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.52
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 82 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1568
- Opponent strength
- 1474
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Very High
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- 16%
- Resale range (24m)
- €58.4M – €128M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 65 pts; changed club; team strength up (+172 Elo); role change LW -> RW.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +25% (IQR -9% to +74%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga | RW | 33 | 2483 | 81% | 12 | 9 | 0.76 | 0.52 | 1474 | 1568 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | CD Leganés | Laliga | LW | 10 | 542 | 16% | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 0.57 | 1490 | 1396 | 0.95 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Ivory Coast | 5 | 352 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Ivory Coast | 3 | 242 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | RB Leipzig | 3 | 241 | 1 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadon Sancho Bundesliga · 2019 | 19 | €100M | €100M | flat |
| Savinho Laliga · 2024 | 20 | €50.0M | €35.0M | fell |
| Luka Jović Bundesliga · 2019 | 22 | €60.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| Harry Kane Premier League · 2015 | 22 | €25.0M | €60.0M | rose |
| Erling Haaland Bundesliga · 2021 | 21 | €130M | €180M | rose |
| Mauro Icardi Serie A · 2015 | 22 | €32.0M | €50.0M | rose |
| Leroy Sané Bundesliga · 2016 | 20 | €18.0M | €90.0M | rose |
| Dango Ouattara Ligue 1 · 2023 | 21 | €25.0M | €28.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul 2025 | CD Leganés | Leipzig | €20.0M | €1.5M |
| 1 Jan 2025 | DME Academy | CD Leganés | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2022 | Yulee Hornets | DME Academy | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.