Transfer Finder

“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.

Target: Ilia Gruev · 26 · Defensive midfielder · Leeds United · est. acquisition €5.5M – €11.8M

Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.

PlayerSimilarityAgePosMarket valueEst. acquisitionModel valueBIRiskStrengthsDifferences
Saša Lukić
Fulham FC · Premier League
39%29DM€10.0M€3.5M – €8.9M€11.4M – €28.2M48/100Risk: ModeratePerformance-implied value in the top 6% of MID peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value4 yrs older
Joe Willock
Newcastle United · Premier League
38%26CM€14.0M€4.9M – €12.4M€16.1M – €25.6M85/100Risk: ModeratePerformance-implied value in the top 11% of MID peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied valueplays Central midfielder
Nikola Moro
Bologna Football Club 1909 · Serie A
33%28DM€7.0M€2.5M – €6.3M€3.9M – €14.5M74/100Risk: ModerateImproving trajectory; 734 minutes in continental competition2 yrs older; weaker league (0.93); adj. G+A/90 0.10 vs 0.21
Tommaso Pobega
Bologna Football Club 1909 · Serie A
33%26CM€8.0M€3.7M – €8.6M€3.7M – €11.5M30/100Risk: Moderate494 minutes in continental competitionplays Central midfielder; weaker league (0.93)
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
Parma Calcio 1913 · Serie A
32%26DM€6.0M€2.8M – €6.8M€2.5M – €5.2M26/100Risk: ModerateGoal contributions 2.1x the positional average in the league (context-adjusted)weaker league (0.93); adj. G+A/90 0.34 vs 0.21
Jefferson Lerma
Crystal Palace · Premier League
32%31DM€6.0M€2.1M – €5.2M€8.1M – €20.4M9/100Risk: ModeratePerformance-implied value in the top 4% of MID peers; Improving trajectory6 yrs older; adj. G+A/90 0.13 vs 0.21
Fran Beltrán
Girona FC · Laliga
32%27CM€4.0M€1.7M – €4.3M€5.2M – €11.3M49/100Risk: ModeratePerformance-implied value in the top 24% of MID peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied valueplays Central midfielder; weaker league (0.95)
Batista Mendy
Sevilla FC · Laliga
32%26DM€7.5M€3.0M – €6.6M€2.7M – €9.9M62/100Risk: Moderate—weaker league (0.95); adj. G+A/90 0.08 vs 0.21
Kristijan Jakic
FC Augsburg · Bundesliga
32%29DM€6.0M€2.6M – €6.6M€2.1M – €6.9M12/100Risk: LowGoal contributions 1.3x the positional average in the league (context-adjusted); Improving trajectory3 yrs older; weaker league (0.94); 54% of minutes
Tomáš Souček
West Ham United · Premier League
31%31DM€10.0M€3.5M – €8.8M€6.3M – €22.3M9/100Risk: ModeratePerformance-implied value in the top 10% of MID peers; Goal contributions 1.4x the positional average in the league (context-adjusted)5 yrs older; 64% of minutes
Jordan Zemura
Udinese Calcio · Serie A
31%26LM€5.0M€1.6M – €4.4M€4.2M – €8.8M85/100Risk: ModerateEstimated acquisition well below performance-implied valueplays Left midfielder; weaker league (0.93)
Filip Ugrinic
Valencia CF · Laliga
31%27CM€6.0M€2.8M – €6.5M€1.9M – €5.2M36/100Risk: Low—plays Central midfielder; weaker league (0.95)
Kervin Arriaga
Levante UD · Laliga
31%28DM€2.0M€877k – €2.3M€1.3M – €4.0M70/100Risk: ModerateGoal contributions 2.4x the positional average in the league (context-adjusted)2 yrs older; weaker league (0.95); adj. G+A/90 0.30 vs 0.21
Gerard Gumbau
Rayo Vallecano · Laliga
31%31DM€1.2M€360k – €1.1M€1.3M – €4.4M66/100Risk: HighGoal contributions 1.5x the positional average in the league (context-adjusted); Improving trajectory5 yrs older; weaker league (0.95)
Pepelu
Valencia CF · Laliga
31%27DM€8.0M€3.8M – €8.8M€5.3M – €15.0M38/100Risk: LowPerformance-implied value in the top 23% of MID peersweaker league (0.95); 65% of minutes; adj. G+A/90 0.10 vs 0.21

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