Transfer Finder
“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.
Target: Billy van Duijl · 20 · Centre-back · AZ Alkmaar · est. acquisition €1.1M – €3.7M
Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.
| Player | Similarity | Age | Pos | Market value | Est. acquisition | Model value | BI | Risk | Strengths | Differences |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Verstraeten Royal Antwerp FC · Jupiler Pro League | 43% | 20 | CB | €1.0M | €542k – €2.8M | €668k – €2.7M | 48/100 | Risk: High | Improving trajectory | stronger league (0.65); 34% of minutes |
| Brayann Pereira NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie | 40% | 23 | CB | €1.0M | €383k – €1.3M | €805k – €2.0M | 98/100 | Risk: Very High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 2 yrs older; 38% of minutes |
| Thiago Balieiro Vitória Guimarães SC · Liga Portugal | 40% | 23 | CB | €1.0M | €690k – €2.7M | €414k – €1.9M | 42/100 | Risk: Very High | — | 3 yrs older; 38% of minutes |
| Antonio Espigares Gil Vicente FC · Liga Portugal | 40% | 21 | CB | €500k | €227k – €936k | €297k – €1.1M | 79/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.19 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | very similar |
| Amando Lapage KVC Westerlo · Jupiler Pro League | 38% | 21 | CB | €800k | €369k – €1.6M | €424k – €1.6M | 65/100 | Risk: High | — | stronger league (0.65); 35% of minutes |
| Henrique Silva CD Santa Clara · Liga Portugal | 38% | 20 | CB | €500k | €339k – €2.3M | €235k – €741k | 15/100 | Risk: Very High | Team conceded 0.17 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | very similar |
| Deveron Fonville NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie | 38% | 23 | CB | €1.5M | €969k – €3.2M | €420k – €1.1M | 45/100 | Risk: High | — | 2 yrs older; 48% of minutes |
| Ivan Lepskiy PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier Liga | 35% | 21 | CB | €800k | €401k – €1.6M | €454k – €917k | 55/100 | Risk: Very High | — | 43% of minutes |
| David Semenchuk FK Rostov · Premier Liga | 34% | 21 | CB | €900k | €491k – €2.4M | €405k – €1.3M | 60/100 | Risk: Very High | Team conceded 0.41 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | 48% of minutes |
| Julius Dirksen Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie | 34% | 23 | CB | €800k | €404k – €1.5M | €346k – €581k | 60/100 | Risk: High | — | 3 yrs older; 38% of minutes |
| Miguel Nóbrega Vitória Guimarães SC · Liga Portugal | 33% | 26 | CB | €400k | €148k – €525k | €461k – €1.2M | 86/100 | Risk: High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 5 yrs older |
| Daan Dierckx Standard Liège · Jupiler Pro League | 33% | 23 | CB | €1.5M | €835k – €2.8M | €463k – €1.5M | 17/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.27 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | 3 yrs older; stronger league (0.65); 44% of minutes |
| Antef Tsoungui GD Estoril Praia · Liga Portugal | 33% | 23 | CB | €1.0M | €547k – €1.8M | €366k – €799k | 43/100 | Risk: High | — | 3 yrs older; 45% of minutes |
| Konstantinos Kostoulas Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC · Super League 1 | 33% | 21 | CB | €800k | €383k – €2.2M | €225k – €641k | 73/100 | Risk: High | — | 42% of minutes |
| Kaly Casa Pia AC · Liga Portugal | 33% | 22 | CB | €400k | €191k – €504k | €195k – €600k | 96/100 | Risk: High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | very similar |