Transfer Finder
“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.
Target: Timothy Castagne · 30 · Right-back · Fulham FC · est. acquisition €2.1M – €6.2M
Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.
| Player | Similarity | Age | Pos | Market value | Est. acquisition | Model value | BI | Risk | Strengths | Differences |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clément Lenglet Atlético de Madrid · Laliga | 31% | 31 | CB | €4.0M | €1.3M – €3.3M | €6.8M – €23.2M | 39/100 | Risk: High | Performance-implied value in the top 6% of DEF peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | plays Centre-back; weaker league (0.95) |
| Victor Lindelöf Aston Villa · Premier League | 30% | 31 | CB | €5.0M | €1.9M – €4.7M | €4.6M – €13.9M | 15/100 | Risk: High | Performance-implied value in the top 9% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | plays Centre-back; 28% of minutes |
| Andoni Gorosabel Athletic Bilbao · Laliga | 30% | 29 | RB | €3.0M | €1.2M – €2.9M | €2.3M – €3.7M | 28/100 | Risk: Moderate | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | weaker league (0.95) |
| Duje Caleta-Car Real Sociedad · Laliga | 29% | 29 | CB | €2.8M | €964k – €2.5M | €6.3M – €9.0M | 71/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 13% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | plays Centre-back; weaker league (0.95) |
| Carl Starfelt Celta de Vigo · Laliga | 29% | 31 | CB | €4.5M | €1.4M – €3.7M | €2.5M – €6.4M | 17/100 | Risk: High | Performance-implied value in the top 22% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.28 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | plays Centre-back; weaker league (0.95) |
| Valentin Rosier CA Osasuna · Laliga | 29% | 29 | RB | €3.0M | €1.1M – €3.0M | €3.7M – €5.9M | 52/100 | Risk: Low | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | weaker league (0.95); 75% of minutes |
| Diego Llorente Real Betis Balompié · Laliga | 29% | 32 | CB | €2.5M | €1.1M – €2.9M | €2.1M – €5.1M | 9/100 | Risk: High | Performance-implied value in the top 14% of DEF peers; 627 minutes in continental competition | plays Centre-back; 2 yrs older; weaker league (0.95); 36% of minutes |
| Reinildo Mandava Sunderland AFC · Premier League | 28% | 32 | LB | €4.0M | €1.1M – €3.2M | €2.8M – €5.0M | 15/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 13% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.73 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | plays Left-back |
| Javi Galán CA Osasuna · Laliga | 28% | 31 | LB | €1.8M | €595k – €1.8M | €2.2M – €4.2M | 25/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 20% of DEF peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | plays Left-back; weaker league (0.95) |
| Héctor Bellerín Real Betis Balompié · Laliga | 27% | 31 | RB | €2.4M | €1.0M – €2.5M | €2.5M – €13.7M | 43/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 14% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | weaker league (0.95) |
| Bernardo TSG 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga | 27% | 31 | LB | €4.0M | €1.0M – €3.1M | €1.6M – €6.3M | 20/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 22% of DEF peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | plays Left-back; weaker league (0.94); 76% of minutes |
| Manuel Lazzari Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. · Serie A | 27% | 32 | RB | €2.0M | €531k – €1.6M | €844k – €2.6M | 45/100 | Risk: High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 2 yrs older; weaker league (0.93); 27% of minutes |
| Dominik Kohr 1.FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga | 27% | 32 | CB | €2.0M | €750k – €2.1M | €1.7M – €9.3M | 13/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 16% of DEF peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | plays Centre-back; weaker league (0.94); 77% of minutes |
| Pablo Maffeo RCD Mallorca · Laliga | 27% | 28 | RB | €3.0M | €1.1M – €2.9M | €3.5M – €9.3M | 72/100 | Risk: Low | Improving trajectory; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | weaker league (0.95); 78% of minutes |
| Alessio Romagnoli Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. · Serie A | 26% | 31 | CB | €6.0M | €1.9M – €4.9M | €3.2M – €10.4M | 17/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 11% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.22 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | plays Centre-back; weaker league (0.93); 78% of minutes |