Transfer Finder
“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.
Target: Tiago Esgaio · 30 · Right-back · FC Arouca · est. acquisition €251k – €771k
Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.
| Player | Similarity | Age | Pos | Market value | Est. acquisition | Model value | BI | Risk | Strengths | Differences |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cláudio Winck Kasimpasa · Super Lig | 33% | 32 | RB | €800k | €176k – €594k | €338k – €969k | 28/100 | Risk: Very High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | weaker league (0.40) |
| José Gomes CD Nacional · Liga Portugal | 29% | 29 | LB | €1.0M | €248k – €700k | €527k – €1.2M | 80/100 | Risk: Moderate | Team conceded 0.51 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | plays Left-back |
| Marnon Busch 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 · Bundesliga | 28% | 31 | RB | €1.0M | €241k – €766k | €640k – €2.3M | 68/100 | Risk: Moderate | Improving trajectory; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | stronger league (0.94); 63% of minutes |
| Danny Bakker SC Telstar · Eredivisie | 28% | 31 | CB | €450k | €98k – €514k | €441k – €594k | 79/100 | Risk: Moderate | Team conceded 0.18 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (86% of league minutes) | plays Centre-back |
| Kévin Rodrigues Gaziantep FK · Super Lig | 27% | 32 | LB | €800k | €190k – €588k | €265k – €803k | 35/100 | Risk: High | Improving trajectory; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | plays Left-back; weaker league (0.40) |
| Sean Klaiber Bröndby IF · Superliga | 26% | 31 | RB | €900k | €203k – €696k | €308k – €864k | 45/100 | Risk: High | 503 minutes in continental competition; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 57% of minutes |
| Jere Uronen APS Atromitos Athinon · Super League 1 | 26% | 31 | LB | €700k | €166k – €609k | €255k – €711k | 56/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.56 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | plays Left-back; weaker league (0.42) |
| Wagane Faye RAAL La Louvière · Jupiler Pro League | 25% | 32 | CB | €400k | €126k – €332k | €197k – €668k | 73/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.48 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | plays Centre-back |
| Rodrigo Abascal Vitória Guimarães SC · Liga Portugal | 25% | 32 | CB | €400k | €116k – €335k | €422k – €1.1M | 76/100 | Risk: High | Improving trajectory; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | plays Centre-back |
| Marsoni Sambu FCV Dender EH · Jupiler Pro League | 24% | 30 | RB | €700k | €164k – €528k | €325k – €894k | 66/100 | Risk: High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 58% of minutes |
| Sergey Bozhin PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier Liga | 24% | 31 | CB | €800k | €215k – €651k | €410k – €668k | 29/100 | Risk: High | Improving trajectory; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | plays Centre-back |
| Harry Milne Heart of Midlothian FC · Scottish Premiership | 24% | 29 | LB | €550k | €146k – €446k | €420k – €2.0M | 93/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.31 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | plays Left-back; weaker league (0.31) |
| Borja González Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC · Super League 1 | 24% | 30 | RB | €500k | €113k – €405k | €258k – €819k | 82/100 | Risk: Very High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | weaker league (0.42); 50% of minutes |
| Denys Miroshnichenko Karpaty Lviv · Premier Liga | 24% | 31 | LB | €400k | €90k – €300k | €299k – €816k | 72/100 | Risk: Very High | Team conceded 0.36 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | plays Left-back; weaker league (0.25) |
| Benoît Nyssen Zulte Waregem · Jupiler Pro League | 23% | 28 | RB | €600k | €141k – €630k | €383k – €985k | 78/100 | Risk: Moderate | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 2 yrs younger; 59% of minutes |