Transfer Finder
“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.
Target: Lukas Willen · 23 · Centre-back · Zulte Waregem · est. acquisition €209k – €891k
Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.
| Player | Similarity | Age | Pos | Market value | Est. acquisition | Model value | BI | Risk | Strengths | Differences |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaly Casa Pia AC · Liga Portugal | 48% | 22 | CB | €400k | €191k – €504k | €195k – €600k | 96/100 | Risk: High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | very similar |
| Vyacheslav Litvinov FK Sochi · Premier Liga | 45% | 25 | CB | €700k | €274k – €803k | €436k – €916k | 75/100 | Risk: High | — | 2 yrs older |
| Paulo Vitor Avs Futebol · Liga Portugal | 44% | 24 | CB | €500k | €195k – €592k | €361k – €639k | 85/100 | Risk: Moderate | Team conceded 0.56 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Improving trajectory | very similar |
| Andrés Alarcón Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier Liga | 44% | 25 | CB | €750k | €293k – €875k | €337k – €769k | 78/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.24 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | very similar |
| Antonio Espigares Gil Vicente FC · Liga Portugal | 44% | 21 | CB | €500k | €227k – €936k | €297k – €1.1M | 79/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.19 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | very similar |
| Jeppe Kudsk FC Fredericia · Superliga | 38% | 23 | CB | €400k | €153k – €559k | €290k – €560k | 98/100 | Risk: High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | weaker league (0.47); 55% of minutes |
| Nikita Kakkoev FK Nizhny Novgorod · Premier Liga | 36% | 26 | CB | €800k | €235k – €612k | €498k – €837k | 84/100 | Risk: Very High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 4 yrs older |
| Laurent Lemoine Zulte Waregem · Jupiler Pro League | 35% | 28 | CB | €800k | €262k – €606k | €309k – €836k | 86/100 | Risk: Moderate | Team conceded 0.24 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | 5 yrs older |
| Syb van Ottele Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie · Eredivisie | 35% | 24 | CB | €600k | €185k – €590k | €370k – €666k | 95/100 | Risk: Very High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | weaker league (0.43) |
| Devon Koswal SC Telstar · Eredivisie | 34% | 22 | CB | €450k | €153k – €953k | €296k – €608k | 80/100 | Risk: Moderate | Team conceded 0.29 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | weaker league (0.43) |
| Miguel Nóbrega Vitória Guimarães SC · Liga Portugal | 34% | 26 | CB | €400k | €148k – €525k | €461k – €1.2M | 86/100 | Risk: High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 3 yrs older |
| Anıl Yiğit Çınar Fatih Karagümrük · Super Lig | 34% | 22 | CB | €500k | €214k – €835k | €253k – €521k | 97/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.19 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | weaker league (0.40) |
| Rodrigo Conceição CD Tondela · Liga Portugal | 34% | 26 | LB | €500k | €138k – €366k | €329k – €769k | 98/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.53 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | plays Left-back; 3 yrs older |
| Daniel Rivas Avs Futebol · Liga Portugal | 34% | 24 | LB | €500k | €145k – €419k | €358k – €662k | 99/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.54 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | plays Left-back |
| Idar Shumakhov Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier Liga | 34% | 27 | CB | €1.0M | €306k – €782k | €624k – €1.1M | 83/100 | Risk: Very High | Team conceded 0.41 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 4 yrs older; 56% of minutes |