Transfer Finder
“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.
Target: Daniel Carvajal · 34 · Right-back · Real Madrid · est. acquisition €1.5M – €4.4M
Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.
| Player | Similarity | Age | Pos | Market value | Est. acquisition | Model value | BI | Risk | Strengths | Differences |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clément Lenglet Atlético de Madrid · Laliga | 32% | 31 | CB | €4.0M | €1.3M – €3.3M | €6.8M – €23.2M | 39/100 | Risk: High | Performance-implied value in the top 6% of DEF peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | plays Centre-back; 3 yrs younger |
| Diego Llorente Real Betis Balompié · Laliga | 31% | 32 | CB | €2.5M | €1.1M – €2.9M | €2.1M – €5.1M | 9/100 | Risk: High | Performance-implied value in the top 14% of DEF peers; 627 minutes in continental competition | plays Centre-back |
| Manuel Lazzari Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. · Serie A | 31% | 32 | RB | €2.0M | €531k – €1.6M | €844k – €2.6M | 45/100 | Risk: High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | very similar |
| Chancel Mbemba LOSC Lille · Ligue 1 | 29% | 31 | CB | €2.0M | €633k – €2.4M | €1.1M – €4.8M | 10/100 | Risk: Moderate | 705 minutes in continental competition; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | plays Centre-back; 3 yrs younger |
| Carl Starfelt Celta de Vigo · Laliga | 25% | 31 | CB | €4.5M | €1.4M – €3.7M | €2.5M – €6.4M | 17/100 | Risk: High | Performance-implied value in the top 22% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.28 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | plays Centre-back; 3 yrs younger; 44% of minutes |
| Andoni Gorosabel Athletic Bilbao · Laliga | 25% | 29 | RB | €3.0M | €1.2M – €2.9M | €2.3M – €3.7M | 28/100 | Risk: Moderate | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 5 yrs younger |
| Héctor Bellerín Real Betis Balompié · Laliga | 25% | 31 | RB | €2.4M | €1.0M – €2.5M | €2.5M – €13.7M | 43/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 14% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | 3 yrs younger; 53% of minutes |
| Mërgim Vojvoda Como 1907 · Serie A | 24% | 31 | RB | €2.5M | €1.0M – €2.5M | €2.3M – €8.9M | 30/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 22% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.57 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | 3 yrs younger; 47% of minutes |
| Kevin Mbabu FC Midtjylland · Superliga | 23% | 31 | RB | €2.2M | €525k – €2.3M | €1.2M – €3.9M | 21/100 | Risk: Moderate | 718 minutes in continental competition; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 3 yrs younger; weaker league (0.47); 51% of minutes |
| Alfonso Pedraza Villarreal CF · Laliga | 23% | 30 | LB | €2.5M | €899k – €2.7M | €2.3M – €6.3M | 38/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 23% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | plays Left-back; 4 yrs younger; 49% of minutes |
| Giovanni González FK Krasnodar · Premier Liga | 23% | 31 | RB | €2.0M | €764k – €1.8M | €1.0M – €2.6M | 36/100 | Risk: Very High | Team conceded 0.24 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Improving trajectory | 3 yrs younger; weaker league (0.56); 55% of minutes |
| Marc Oliver Kempf Como 1907 · Serie A | 23% | 31 | CB | €3.5M | €1.2M – €3.0M | €3.3M – €10.6M | 65/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 15% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.49 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | plays Centre-back; 3 yrs younger; 68% of minutes |
| Javi Galán CA Osasuna · Laliga | 23% | 31 | LB | €1.8M | €595k – €1.8M | €2.2M – €4.2M | 25/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 20% of DEF peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | plays Left-back; 3 yrs younger; 53% of minutes |
| Thierry Correia Valencia CF · Laliga | 23% | 27 | RB | €2.5M | €776k – €2.1M | €1.8M – €5.1M | 92/100 | Risk: Moderate | Improving trajectory; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 7 yrs younger |
| Adrien Tamèze Torino FC · Serie A | 22% | 32 | CB | €1.2M | €319k – €1.4M | €589k – €1.9M | 7/100 | Risk: High | — | plays Centre-back; 2 yrs younger |