Transfer Finder
“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.
Target: Harry Maguire · 33 · Centre-back · Manchester United · est. acquisition €3.1M – €7.7M
Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.
| Player | Similarity | Age | Pos | Market value | Est. acquisition | Model value | BI | Risk | Strengths | Differences |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Lindelöf Aston Villa · Premier League | 41% | 31 | CB | €5.0M | €1.9M – €4.7M | €4.6M – €13.9M | 15/100 | Risk: High | Performance-implied value in the top 9% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | 28% of minutes |
| Ramy Bensebaini Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga | 35% | 31 | CB | €7.0M | €2.3M – €5.9M | €6.5M – €41.9M | 34/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 4% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.19 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | 2 yrs younger; weaker league (0.94) |
| Mario Hermoso Associazione Sportiva Roma · Serie A | 34% | 31 | CB | €7.0M | €2.3M – €5.9M | €4.2M – €15.7M | 27/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 11% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.30 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | 2 yrs younger; weaker league (0.93) |
| Clément Lenglet Atlético de Madrid · Laliga | 33% | 31 | CB | €4.0M | €1.3M – €3.3M | €6.8M – €23.2M | 39/100 | Risk: High | Performance-implied value in the top 6% of DEF peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 2 yrs younger; weaker league (0.95) |
| Timothy Castagne Fulham FC · Premier League | 32% | 30 | RB | €8.0M | €2.1M – €6.2M | €6.2M – €12.5M | 18/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 10% of DEF peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | plays Right-back; 3 yrs younger |
| Lucas Digne Aston Villa · Premier League | 31% | 32 | LB | €6.0M | €1.9M – €6.0M | €8.6M – €12.8M | 2/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 2% of DEF peers; 736 minutes in continental competition | plays Left-back |
| Diego Llorente Real Betis Balompié · Laliga | 31% | 32 | CB | €2.5M | €1.1M – €2.9M | €2.1M – €5.1M | 9/100 | Risk: High | Performance-implied value in the top 14% of DEF peers; 627 minutes in continental competition | weaker league (0.95) |
| Marc Oliver Kempf Como 1907 · Serie A | 30% | 31 | CB | €3.5M | €1.2M – €3.0M | €3.3M – €10.6M | 65/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 15% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.49 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | weaker league (0.93); 68% of minutes |
| Reinildo Mandava Sunderland AFC · Premier League | 28% | 32 | LB | €4.0M | €1.1M – €3.2M | €2.8M – €5.0M | 15/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 13% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.73 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | plays Left-back |
| João Cancelo FC Barcelona · Laliga | 27% | 32 | LB | €8.0M | €2.3M – €6.4M | €3.3M – €18.1M | 11/100 | Risk: High | Performance-implied value in the top 13% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.23 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | plays Left-back; weaker league (0.95); 28% of minutes |
| Carl Starfelt Celta de Vigo · Laliga | 27% | 31 | CB | €4.5M | €1.4M – €3.7M | €2.5M – €6.4M | 17/100 | Risk: High | Performance-implied value in the top 22% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.28 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | 2 yrs younger; weaker league (0.95) |
| Duje Caleta-Car Real Sociedad · Laliga | 26% | 29 | CB | €2.8M | €964k – €2.5M | €6.3M – €9.0M | 71/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 13% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | 4 yrs younger; weaker league (0.95) |
| Chancel Mbemba LOSC Lille · Ligue 1 | 26% | 31 | CB | €2.0M | €633k – €2.4M | €1.1M – €4.8M | 10/100 | Risk: Moderate | 705 minutes in continental competition; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | weaker league (0.88); 31% of minutes |
| Dominik Kohr 1.FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga | 25% | 32 | CB | €2.0M | €750k – €2.1M | €1.7M – €9.3M | 13/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 16% of DEF peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | weaker league (0.94); 77% of minutes |
| Héctor Bellerín Real Betis Balompié · Laliga | 25% | 31 | RB | €2.4M | €1.0M – €2.5M | €2.5M – €13.7M | 43/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 14% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | plays Right-back; 2 yrs younger; weaker league (0.95) |