Transfer Finder
“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.
Target: Lucas Hernández · 30 · Left-back · Paris Saint-Germain · est. acquisition €8.6M – €17.9M
Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.
| Player | Similarity | Age | Pos | Market value | Est. acquisition | Model value | BI | Risk | Strengths | Differences |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fran García Real Madrid · Laliga | 33% | 26 | LB | €10.0M | €4.9M – €12.3M | €11.1M – €29.1M | 40/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 12% of DEF peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 4 yrs younger; 27% of minutes |
| Mario Hermoso Associazione Sportiva Roma · Serie A | 33% | 31 | CB | €7.0M | €2.3M – €5.9M | €4.2M – €15.7M | 27/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 11% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.30 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | plays Centre-back |
| Amir Rrahmani SSC Napoli · Serie A | 33% | 32 | CB | €10.0M | €3.5M – €8.3M | €4.5M – €12.3M | 7/100 | Risk: High | Performance-implied value in the top 6% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.23 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | plays Centre-back |
| Marcos Llorente Atlético de Madrid · Laliga | 32% | 31 | RB | €20.0M | €5.5M – €15.3M | €4.9M – €18.6M | 4/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 9% of DEF peers; 1151 minutes in continental competition | plays Right-back |
| Ramy Bensebaini Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga | 32% | 31 | CB | €7.0M | €2.3M – €5.9M | €6.5M – €41.9M | 34/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 4% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.19 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | plays Centre-back |
| João Cancelo FC Barcelona · Laliga | 31% | 32 | LB | €8.0M | €2.3M – €6.4M | €3.3M – €18.1M | 11/100 | Risk: High | Performance-implied value in the top 13% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.23 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | 28% of minutes |
| Douglas Santos AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg · Premier Liga | 31% | 32 | LB | €7.5M | €2.1M – €5.5M | €2.9M – €5.3M | 10/100 | Risk: Very High | Performance-implied value in the top 19% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.18 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | weaker league (0.56) |
| Clément Lenglet Atlético de Madrid · Laliga | 31% | 31 | CB | €4.0M | €1.3M – €3.3M | €6.8M – €23.2M | 39/100 | Risk: High | Performance-implied value in the top 6% of DEF peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | plays Centre-back; 41% of minutes |
| Caio Henrique AS Monaco · Ligue 1 | 30% | 28 | LB | €12.0M | €3.6M – €9.5M | €3.5M – €9.3M | 33/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 23% of DEF peers; 765 minutes in continental competition | very similar |
| Andrew Robertson Liverpool FC · Premier League | 30% | 32 | LB | €7.0M | €2.2M – €7.5M | €6.6M – €15.0M | 5/100 | Risk: High | Performance-implied value in the top 6% of DEF peers; 486 minutes in continental competition | stronger league (1.30); 34% of minutes |
| José María Giménez Atlético de Madrid · Laliga | 29% | 31 | CB | €9.0M | €4.2M – €9.4M | €3.1M – €9.4M | 1/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 14% of DEF peers | plays Centre-back; 34% of minutes |
| Ben Chilwell RC Strasbourg Alsace · Ligue 1 | 29% | 29 | LB | €10.0M | €2.8M – €7.6M | €3.3M – €12.8M | 27/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 17% of DEF peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | very similar |
| Alfonso Pedraza Villarreal CF · Laliga | 29% | 30 | LB | €2.5M | €899k – €2.7M | €2.3M – €6.3M | 38/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 23% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | very similar |
| Emerson Olympique Marseille · Ligue 1 | 29% | 31 | LB | €9.0M | €2.5M – €7.0M | €3.7M – €7.7M | 7/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 13% of DEF peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | very similar |
| Rico Henry Brentford FC · Premier League | 29% | 28 | LB | €13.0M | €3.9M – €10.5M | €5.3M – €17.8M | 35/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 15% of DEF peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | stronger league (1.30); 39% of minutes |