Transfer Finder

“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.

Target: Maarten Paes · 28 · Goalkeeper · Ajax Amsterdam · est. acquisition €517k – €2.5M

Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.

PlayerSimilarityAgePosMarket valueEst. acquisitionModel valueBIRiskStrengthsDifferences
Ignacio de Arruabarrena
FC Arouca · Liga Portugal
40%29GK€1.0M€294k – €1.1M€367k – €1.3M50/100Risk: ModerateTeam conceded 0.23 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitchvery similar
Warleson
Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League
38%29GK€2.0M€573k – €1.7M€462k – €1.1M44/100Risk: HighTeam conceded 0.24 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitchstronger league (0.65)
Vadim Ulyanov
RFK Akhmat Grozny · Premier Liga
35%24GK€800k€318k – €1.2M€343k – €622k81/100Risk: HighTeam conceded 0.47 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch3 yrs younger
Ennio van der Gouw
Rio Ave FC · Liga Portugal
35%26GK€400k€154k – €364k€240k – €641k89/100Risk: HighTeam conceded 0.54 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitchvery similar
Juan Castillo
Vitória Guimarães SC · Liga Portugal
35%23GK€500k€181k – €643k€378k – €1.5M81/100Risk: ModerateEstimated acquisition well below performance-implied value5 yrs younger
Antonis Tsiftsis
Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton · Super League 1
34%26GK€1.2M€410k – €2.0M€583k – €2.0M78/100Risk: HighTeam conceded 0.51 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; 540 minutes in continental competitionvery similar
Charles
Vitória Guimarães SC · Liga Portugal
30%32GK€300k€88k – €300k€266k – €1.2M85/100Risk: Very HighEstimated acquisition well below performance-implied value4 yrs older; 56% of minutes
Maxime Delanghe
Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League
30%25GK€1.5M€611k – €2.1M€562k – €2.5M45/100Risk: High—3 yrs younger; stronger league (0.65); 59% of minutes
David Volk
Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier Liga
30%25GK€900k€241k – €659k€453k – €1.1M95/100Risk: Very HighTeam conceded 0.37 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value3 yrs younger; 50% of minutes
Timur Magomedov
Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier Liga
30%24GK€600k€162k – €454k€360k – €769k97/100Risk: HighTeam conceded 0.41 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value4 yrs younger
Bahadır Güngördü
Konyaspor · Super Lig
30%30GK€700k€164k – €576k€277k – €729k76/100Risk: HighEstimated acquisition well below performance-implied value2 yrs older; 65% of minutes
Michael Verrips
FCV Dender EH · Jupiler Pro League
30%29GK€450k€127k – €524k€277k – €1.0M42/100Risk: HighEstimated acquisition well below performance-implied valuestronger league (0.65)
Marcos Felipe
Eyüpspor · Super Lig
30%30GK€1.5M€392k – €1.5M€279k – €564k53/100Risk: HighTeam conceded 0.16 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch2 yrs older; 56% of minutes
Andreas Hansen
FC Nordsjaelland · Superliga
28%30GK€1.0M€244k – €1.2M€403k – €1.2M61/100Risk: High—3 yrs older; 77% of minutes
Nikolaos Christogeorgos
Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC · Super League 1
28%26GK€1.0M€336k – €1.5M€386k – €1.1M77/100Risk: High—70% of minutes

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