Transfer Finder

“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.

Target: Igor Jesus · 25 · Striker · Nottingham Forest · est. acquisition €18.8M – €36.5M

Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.

PlayerSimilarityAgePosMarket valueEst. acquisitionModel valueBIRiskStrengthsDifferences
Jean-Philippe Mateta
Crystal Palace · Premier League
45%29ST€30.0M€12.4M – €32.4M€30.5M – €64.0M28/100Risk: ModeratePerformance-implied value in the top 2% of ATT peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value4 yrs older
Anastasios Douvikas
Como 1907 · Serie A
38%26ST€25.0M€18.8M – €32.4M€10.8M – €36.3M6/100Risk: LowPerformance-implied value in the top 15% of ATT peers; Improving trajectoryweaker league (0.93); adj. G+A/90 0.56 vs 0.46
Cucho Hernández
Real Betis Balompié · Laliga
38%27ST€18.0M€13.1M – €22.1M€12.5M – €29.5M25/100Risk: LowPerformance-implied value in the top 14% of ATT peers; Improving trajectoryweaker league (0.95)
Hugo Duro
Valencia CF · Laliga
37%26ST€12.0M€7.5M – €15.0M€8.7M – €29.3M19/100Risk: LowPerformance-implied value in the top 18% of ATT peersweaker league (0.95)
Martín Satriano
Getafe CF · Laliga
36%25ST€10.0M€7.0M – €15.9M€4.6M – €13.3M40/100Risk: Low510 minutes in continental competitionweaker league (0.95)
Tim Lemperle
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga
36%24ST€17.0M€13.3M – €24.4M€3.2M – €13.6M35/100Risk: Low—weaker league (0.94)
Beto
Everton FC · Premier League
35%28ST€18.0M€7.9M – €20.1M€20.0M – €32.6M40/100Risk: ModeratePerformance-implied value in the top 8% of ATT peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value3 yrs older; 46% of minutes; adj. G+A/90 0.58 vs 0.46
Richarlison
Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League
34%29ST€25.0M€10.3M – €27.1M€12.4M – €45.3M25/100Risk: LowPerformance-implied value in the top 6% of ATT peers; Improving trajectory4 yrs older; adj. G+A/90 0.64 vs 0.46
Harvey Barnes
Newcastle United · Premier League
34%28LW€32.0M€15.8M – €34.3M€27.5M – €38.8M3/100Risk: LowPerformance-implied value in the top 4% of ATT peers; 809 minutes in continental competitionplays Left winger; 3 yrs older; adj. G+A/90 0.35 vs 0.46
Ollie Watkins
Aston Villa · Premier League
34%30ST€25.0M€13.8M – €33.3M€45.2M – €84.5M2/100Risk: LowPerformance-implied value in the top 1% of ATT peers; Undisputed starter (83% of league minutes)5 yrs older; 84% of minutes
Tolu Arokodare
Wolverhampton Wanderers · Premier League
34%25ST€20.0M€14.2M – €29.0M€8.2M – €17.1M13/100Risk: ModeratePerformance-implied value in the top 19% of ATT peers44% of minutes
Patrik Schick
Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga
33%30ST€18.0M€9.9M – €20.4M€14.3M – €35.2M1/100Risk: LowPerformance-implied value in the top 5% of ATT peers; Improving trajectory5 yrs older; weaker league (0.94)
Odsonne Édouard
RC Lens · Ligue 1
33%28ST€12.0M€7.8M – €15.1M€11.1M – €32.6M5/100Risk: LowPerformance-implied value in the top 10% of ATT peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value3 yrs older; weaker league (0.88)
Randal Kolo Muani
Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League
33%27ST€20.0M€13.7M – €28.4M€17.0M – €29.9M3/100Risk: ModeratePerformance-implied value in the top 10% of ATT peers; 450 minutes in continental competition2 yrs older; 49% of minutes; adj. G+A/90 0.25 vs 0.46
Igor Matanovic
SC Freiburg · Bundesliga
33%23ST€22.0M€14.6M – €37.2M€5.0M – €26.0M40/100Risk: Moderate722 minutes in continental competition2 yrs younger; weaker league (0.94); 51% of minutes; adj. G+A/90 0.55 vs 0.46

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