Transfer Finder
“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.
Target: Josko Gvardiol · 24 · Centre-back · Manchester City · est. acquisition €47.9M – €106M
Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.
| Player | Similarity | Age | Pos | Market value | Est. acquisition | Model value | BI | Risk | Strengths | Differences |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Maatsen Aston Villa · Premier League | 47% | 24 | LB | €30.0M | €18.8M – €41.5M | €22.2M – €35.0M | 20/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 8% of DEF peers; 547 minutes in continental competition | plays Left-back |
| Rayan Aït-Nouri Manchester City · Premier League | 46% | 25 | LB | €40.0M | €24.6M – €55.3M | €24.5M – €41.0M | 16/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 7% of DEF peers | plays Left-back |
| Riccardo Calafiori Arsenal FC · Premier League | 46% | 24 | LB | €55.0M | €37.1M – €75.9M | €26.9M – €41.9M | 10/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 5% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.36 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | plays Left-back |
| Matthijs de Ligt Manchester United · Premier League | 45% | 26 | CB | €30.0M | €19.6M – €43.5M | €18.6M – €44.3M | 6/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 5% of DEF peers | 2 yrs older |
| Morato Nottingham Forest · Premier League | 42% | 25 | CB | €14.0M | €9.2M – €21.0M | €11.7M – €27.2M | 27/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 12% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | very similar |
| Piero Hincapié Arsenal FC · Premier League | 42% | 24 | LB | €50.0M | €31.3M – €72.2M | €35.8M – €72.2M | 25/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 2% of DEF peers; 574 minutes in continental competition | plays Left-back |
| James Hill AFC Bournemouth · Premier League | 40% | 24 | CB | €23.0M | €17.1M – €35.2M | €10.9M – €43.9M | 53/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 10% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.46 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | 62% of minutes |
| Jeremie Frimpong Liverpool FC · Premier League | 40% | 25 | RB | €35.0M | €20.3M – €43.7M | €22.0M – €35.0M | 15/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 8% of DEF peers; 465 minutes in continental competition | plays Right-back |
| Sven Botman Newcastle United · Premier League | 39% | 26 | CB | €35.0M | €22.9M – €52.0M | €19.3M – €37.7M | 6/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 6% of DEF peers; 544 minutes in continental competition | 2 yrs older |
| Leny Yoro Manchester United · Premier League | 39% | 20 | CB | €50.0M | €37.8M – €77.0M | €28.8M – €63.2M | 11/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 7% of DEF peers; Strong for age (21): top 4% of same-age peers | 4 yrs younger |
| Ronald Araujo FC Barcelona · Laliga | 39% | 27 | CB | €20.0M | €13.0M – €26.6M | €9.5M – €28.6M | 10/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 11% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | 3 yrs older; weaker league (0.95) |
| Raúl Asencio Real Madrid · Laliga | 39% | 23 | CB | €20.0M | €13.8M – €27.4M | €16.5M – €50.7M | 56/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 9% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | weaker league (0.95) |
| Yann Bisseck Inter Milan · Serie A | 38% | 25 | CB | €50.0M | €39.0M – €67.4M | €19.7M – €65.9M | 19/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 3% of DEF peers; 558 minutes in continental competition | weaker league (0.93); 56% of minutes |
| Tino Livramento Newcastle United · Premier League | 38% | 23 | RB | €45.0M | €27.0M – €60.2M | €25.9M – €30.4M | 6/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 10% of DEF peers | plays Right-back |
| Abdukodir Khusanov Manchester City · Premier League | 38% | 22 | CB | €50.0M | €39.5M – €75.7M | €17.2M – €48.1M | 17/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 7% of DEF peers; Strong for age (22): top 3% of same-age peers | 2 yrs younger |