Transfer Finder

“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.

Target: Gustaf Lagerbielke · 26 · Centre-back · SC Braga · est. acquisition €6.2M – €14.6M

Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.

PlayerSimilarityAgePosMarket valueEst. acquisitionModel valueBIRiskStrengthsDifferences
Filipe Relvas
Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos · Super League 1
59%26CB€4.5M€2.2M – €5.9M€1.4M – €7.8M60/100Risk: LowTeam conceded 0.27 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (80% of league minutes)weaker league (0.42)
Han-beom Lee
FC Midtjylland · Superliga
52%24CB€3.0M€1.4M – €4.5M€2.0M – €5.5M98/100Risk: High836 minutes in continental competition; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value2 yrs younger
Panagiotis Retsos
Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios · Super League 1
52%27CB€7.0M€3.0M – €8.9M€2.2M – €8.9M50/100Risk: ModerateTeam conceded 0.34 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; 806 minutes in continental competitionweaker league (0.42)
Mujaid Sadick
KRC Genk · Jupiler Pro League
52%26CB€5.0M€2.4M – €6.3M€3.4M – €10.5M45/100Risk: LowUndisputed starter (92% of league minutes); Improving trajectoryvery similar
Kevin Mac Allister
Union Saint-Gilloise · Jupiler Pro League
51%28CB€12.0M€5.0M – €11.7M€3.3M – €11.9M49/100Risk: LowTeam conceded 0.37 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (82% of league minutes)2 yrs older
Igor Diveev
PFK CSKA Moskva · Premier Liga
50%26CB€10.0M€6.0M – €12.7M€3.6M – €15.2M42/100Risk: HighPerformance-implied value in the top 24% of DEF peers; Undisputed starter (92% of league minutes)very similar
Ross Sykes
Union Saint-Gilloise · Jupiler Pro League
50%27CB€4.5M€1.8M – €4.9M€2.6M – €11.8M84/100Risk: LowTeam conceded 0.45 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied valuevery similar
Mads Bech Sørensen
FC Midtjylland · Superliga
49%27CB€6.0M€2.2M – €6.5M€2.1M – €7.8M94/100Risk: ModerateUndisputed starter (87% of league minutes); Improving trajectoryvery similar
Harold Moukoudi
Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos · Super League 1
47%28CB€6.0M€2.5M – €7.1M€1.7M – €7.5M37/100Risk: ModerateTeam conceded 0.32 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; 570 minutes in continental competition2 yrs older; weaker league (0.42)
Vanja Drkusic
AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg · Premier Liga
46%26CB€5.0M€2.5M – €6.4M€1.9M – €9.8M37/100Risk: HighTeam conceded 0.33 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch60% of minutes
Anel Ahmedhodzic
Feyenoord Rotterdam · Eredivisie
46%27CB€10.0M€5.2M – €11.7M€1.4M – €2.9M16/100Risk: Low810 minutes in continental competitionvery similar
Ahmed Touba
Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos · Super League 1
46%28CB€2.5M€718k – €2.9M€1.1M – €3.5M68/100Risk: Moderate1413 minutes in continental competition; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value2 yrs older; weaker league (0.42)
Nino
AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg · Premier Liga
43%29CB€10.0M€4.1M – €9.9M€5.0M – €14.7M29/100Risk: HighPerformance-implied value in the top 21% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.29 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch3 yrs older
Siebe Van der Heyden
KAA Gent · Jupiler Pro League
42%28CB€3.0M€1.2M – €3.5M€1.3M – €3.3M52/100Risk: LowImproving trajectoryvery similar
Moustapha Mbow
Paris FC · Ligue 1
42%26CB€9.0M€5.0M – €13.1M€1.8M – €7.9M34/100Risk: LowUndisputed starter (89% of league minutes)stronger league (0.88)

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