Transfer Finder
“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.
Target: Martin Dúbravka · 37 · Goalkeeper · Burnley FC · est. acquisition €167k – €727k
Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.
| Player | Similarity | Age | Pos | Market value | Est. acquisition | Model value | BI | Risk | Strengths | Differences |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Vitória Guimarães SC · Liga Portugal | 18% | 32 | GK | €300k | €88k – €300k | €266k – €1.2M | 85/100 | Risk: Very High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 5 yrs younger; weaker league (0.58); 56% of minutes |
| Nikita Medvedev FK Nizhny Novgorod · Premier Liga | 17% | 31 | GK | €750k | €163k – €540k | €458k – €892k | 53/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.20 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (97% of league minutes) | 6 yrs younger; weaker league (0.56) |
| Lefteris Choutesiotis APS Atromitos Athinon · Super League 1 | 16% | 31 | GK | €400k | €92k – €544k | €316k – €507k | 79/100 | Risk: Moderate | Team conceded 0.24 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 6 yrs younger; weaker league (0.42); 77% of minutes |
| Paul Izzo Randers FC · Superliga | 15% | 31 | GK | €500k | €121k – €439k | €328k – €464k | 79/100 | Risk: Very High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 6 yrs younger; weaker league (0.47) |
| Bahadır Güngördü Konyaspor · Super Lig | 14% | 30 | GK | €700k | €164k – €576k | €277k – €729k | 76/100 | Risk: High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 7 yrs younger; weaker league (0.40); 65% of minutes |
| Kaique Pereira CD Nacional · Liga Portugal | 14% | 23 | GK | €2.0M | €0 – €1.1M | €485k – €1.4M | 100/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.47 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (82% of league minutes) | 14 yrs younger; weaker league (0.58) |
| Igor Vekic Vejle Boldklub · Superliga | 14% | 28 | GK | €500k | €129k – €422k | €279k – €797k | 96/100 | Risk: Moderate | Undisputed starter (100% of league minutes); Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 9 yrs younger; weaker league (0.47) |
| Yevgeniy Kucherenko Dundee United FC · Scottish Premiership | 14% | 26 | GK | €400k | €168k – €358k | €440k – €1.2M | 97/100 | Risk: Moderate | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 11 yrs younger; weaker league (0.31); 70% of minutes |
| Timur Magomedov Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier Liga | 13% | 24 | GK | €600k | €162k – €454k | €360k – €769k | 97/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.41 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 13 yrs younger; weaker league (0.56); 43% of minutes |
| Francisco Tinaglini Panserraikos Serres · Super League 1 | 13% | 27 | GK | €400k | €110k – €412k | €234k – €598k | 97/100 | Risk: Moderate | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 10 yrs younger; weaker league (0.42) |
| Guillaume Dietsch FCV Dender EH · Jupiler Pro League | 13% | 25 | GK | €250k | €80k – €334k | €280k – €768k | 79/100 | Risk: Moderate | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 12 yrs younger; weaker league (0.65); 33% of minutes |
| Shamal George St. Mirren FC · Scottish Premiership | 13% | 28 | GK | €300k | €74k – €322k | €273k – €742k | 91/100 | Risk: Moderate | Undisputed starter (97% of league minutes); Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 9 yrs younger; weaker league (0.31) |
| Oleg Bilyk Epicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi · Premier Liga | 13% | 28 | GK | €400k | €99k – €288k | €341k – €666k | 93/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.26 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (87% of league minutes) | 9 yrs younger; weaker league (0.25) |
| Abdullah Yiğiter Antalyaspor · Super Lig | 12% | 26 | GK | €250k | €73k – €243k | €213k – €444k | 100/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.18 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Improving trajectory | 11 yrs younger; weaker league (0.40); 41% of minutes |
| Nazariy Fedorivskyi Obolon Kyiv · Premier Liga | 12% | 30 | GK | €300k | €77k – €231k | €170k – €395k | 86/100 | Risk: Very High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 7 yrs younger; weaker league (0.25); 52% of minutes |