Transfer Finder

“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.

Target: Mike Penders · 20 · Goalkeeper · RC Strasbourg Alsace · est. acquisition €19.9M – €36.1M

Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.

PlayerSimilarityAgePosMarket valueEst. acquisitionModel valueBIRiskStrengthsDifferences
Guillaume Restes
FC Toulouse · Ligue 1
72%21GK€18.0M€13.1M – €27.5M€6.1M – €24.4M51/100Risk: LowUndisputed starter (96% of league minutes); Improving trajectoryvery similar
Mio Backhaus
SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga
51%22GK€15.0M€10.1M – €28.9M€2.9M – €17.8M43/100Risk: LowUndisputed starter (94% of league minutes)very similar
Noah Atubolu
SC Freiburg · Bundesliga
46%24GK€25.0M€11.6M – €26.4M€10.1M – €29.1M89/100Risk: LowPerformance-implied value in the top 15% of GK peers; Undisputed starter (100% of league minutes)3 yrs older
Elia Caprile
Cagliari Calcio · Serie A
41%24GK€15.0M€11.3M – €22.0M€4.0M – €14.7M56/100Risk: LowTeam conceded 0.30 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (100% of league minutes)4 yrs older
Lukas Hornicek
SC Braga · Liga Portugal
41%23GK€18.0M€13.8M – €26.2M€2.4M – €11.9M50/100Risk: LowUndisputed starter (97% of league minutes); Improving trajectory3 yrs older; weaker league (0.58)
Stanislav Agkatsev
FK Krasnodar · Premier Liga
38%24GK€12.0M€8.3M – €17.3M€3.9M – €17.0M56/100Risk: HighPerformance-implied value in the top 25% of GK peers; Team conceded 0.21 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch4 yrs older; weaker league (0.56)
Leo Román
RCD Mallorca · Laliga
36%25GK€6.0M€3.3M – €8.4M€2.8M – €6.8M55/100Risk: LowUndisputed starter (87% of league minutes); Improving trajectory5 yrs older
Leo Kokubo
Sint-Truidense VV · Jupiler Pro League
35%25GK€5.0M€2.0M – €5.7M€1.2M – €4.3M91/100Risk: ModerateTeam conceded 0.22 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (100% of league minutes)5 yrs older; weaker league (0.65)
Luiz Júnior
Villarreal CF · Laliga
34%25GK€12.0M€8.3M – €16.8M€11.7M – €27.0M51/100Risk: LowPerformance-implied value in the top 12% of GK peers; Improving trajectory5 yrs older; 74% of minutes
Konstantinos Tzolakis
Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios · Super League 1
34%23GK€18.0M€8.2M – €21.3M€2.4M – €20.2M99/100Risk: ModeratePerformance-implied value in the top 21% of GK peers; Team conceded 0.36 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch3 yrs older; weaker league (0.42)
Anatoliy Trubin
SL Benfica · Liga Portugal
34%24GK€25.0M€17.8M – €30.3M€6.9M – €32.0M59/100Risk: LowPerformance-implied value in the top 13% of GK peers; Undisputed starter (94% of league minutes)4 yrs older; weaker league (0.58)
Andreas Jungdal
KVC Westerlo · Jupiler Pro League
34%24GK€3.5M€2.0M – €5.3M€934k – €2.6M38/100Risk: LowTeam conceded 0.16 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (100% of league minutes)3 yrs older; weaker league (0.65)
Maduka Okoye
Udinese Calcio · Serie A
32%26GK€10.0M€5.6M – €13.5M€3.5M – €13.9M47/100Risk: LowPerformance-implied value in the top 24% of GK peers; Team conceded 0.48 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch6 yrs older; 77% of minutes
Tobe Leysen
Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Jupiler Pro League
32%24GK€5.0M€1.9M – €5.6M€1.1M – €3.6M82/100Risk: Moderate—3 yrs older; weaker league (0.65); 79% of minutes
Matthieu Epolo
Standard Liège · Jupiler Pro League
32%21GK€8.0M€5.9M – €12.7M€761k – €5.2M38/100Risk: ModerateTeam conceded 0.20 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitchweaker league (0.65); 70% of minutes

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