Transfer Finder
“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.
Target: Eric Dier · 32 · Centre-back · AS Monaco · est. acquisition €1.8M – €4.0M
Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.
| Player | Similarity | Age | Pos | Market value | Est. acquisition | Model value | BI | Risk | Strengths | Differences |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Llorente Real Betis Balompié · Laliga | 55% | 32 | CB | €2.5M | €1.1M – €2.9M | €2.1M – €5.1M | 9/100 | Risk: High | Performance-implied value in the top 14% of DEF peers; 627 minutes in continental competition | very similar |
| Chancel Mbemba LOSC Lille · Ligue 1 | 46% | 31 | CB | €2.0M | €633k – €2.4M | €1.1M – €4.8M | 10/100 | Risk: Moderate | 705 minutes in continental competition; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | very similar |
| Clément Lenglet Atlético de Madrid · Laliga | 42% | 31 | CB | €4.0M | €1.3M – €3.3M | €6.8M – €23.2M | 39/100 | Risk: High | Performance-implied value in the top 6% of DEF peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 41% of minutes |
| Carl Starfelt Celta de Vigo · Laliga | 40% | 31 | CB | €4.5M | €1.4M – €3.7M | €2.5M – €6.4M | 17/100 | Risk: High | Performance-implied value in the top 22% of DEF peers; Team conceded 0.28 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | 44% of minutes |
| Manuel Lazzari Società Sportiva Lazio S.p.A. · Serie A | 36% | 32 | RB | €2.0M | €531k – €1.6M | €844k – €2.6M | 45/100 | Risk: High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | plays Right-back |
| Adrien Tamèze Torino FC · Serie A | 35% | 32 | CB | €1.2M | €319k – €1.4M | €589k – €1.9M | 7/100 | Risk: High | — | very similar |
| Denis Vavro VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga | 35% | 30 | CB | €5.0M | €1.7M – €4.1M | €1.4M – €5.3M | 17/100 | Risk: High | — | 2 yrs younger; 38% of minutes |
| Marcão Sevilla FC · Laliga | 32% | 30 | CB | €2.5M | €1.1M – €2.8M | €1.2M – €3.3M | 12/100 | Risk: Moderate | Improving trajectory | 2 yrs younger |
| Andoni Gorosabel Athletic Bilbao · Laliga | 31% | 29 | RB | €3.0M | €1.2M – €2.9M | €2.3M – €3.7M | 28/100 | Risk: Moderate | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | plays Right-back; 3 yrs younger; 40% of minutes |
| Igor Silva FC Lorient · Ligue 1 | 31% | 29 | CB | €1.2M | €346k – €1.5M | €688k – €2.7M | 38/100 | Risk: Moderate | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 3 yrs younger; 40% of minutes |
| Eric Bailly Real Oviedo · Laliga | 30% | 32 | CB | €1.2M | €342k – €1.3M | €656k – €3.4M | 44/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.29 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Improving trajectory | very similar |
| Guillermo Maripán Torino FC · Serie A | 30% | 32 | CB | €2.0M | €664k – €2.4M | €1.9M – €5.2M | 10/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 22% of DEF peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 63% of minutes |
| Ardian Ismajli Torino FC · Serie A | 30% | 29 | CB | €5.0M | €1.7M – €4.3M | €1.9M – €6.5M | 27/100 | Risk: Low | Team conceded 0.16 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Improving trajectory | 3 yrs younger; 56% of minutes |
| Javi Galán CA Osasuna · Laliga | 30% | 31 | LB | €1.8M | €595k – €1.8M | €2.2M – €4.2M | 25/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 20% of DEF peers; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | plays Left-back; 53% of minutes |
| Duje Caleta-Car Real Sociedad · Laliga | 30% | 29 | CB | €2.8M | €964k – €2.5M | €6.3M – €9.0M | 71/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 13% of DEF peers; Improving trajectory | 3 yrs younger; 63% of minutes |