Transfer Finder
“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.
Target: Adrian Semper · 28 · Goalkeeper · Pisa Sporting Club · est. acquisition €552k – €1.6M
Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.
| Player | Similarity | Age | Pos | Market value | Est. acquisition | Model value | BI | Risk | Strengths | Differences |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitaliy Gudiev Akron Togliatti · Premier Liga | 24% | 31 | GK | €800k | €196k – €751k | €424k – €739k | 26/100 | Risk: High | Undisputed starter (83% of league minutes); Improving trajectory | 3 yrs older; weaker league (0.56); 83% of minutes |
| Charles Vitória Guimarães SC · Liga Portugal | 24% | 32 | GK | €300k | €88k – €300k | €266k – €1.2M | 85/100 | Risk: Very High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 4 yrs older; weaker league (0.58) |
| André Ferreira Moreirense FC · Liga Portugal | 23% | 30 | GK | €600k | €162k – €599k | €669k – €1.4M | 63/100 | Risk: Moderate | Improving trajectory; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | weaker league (0.58) |
| Bogdan Ovsyannikov FC Orenburg · Premier Liga | 23% | 27 | GK | €900k | €261k – €924k | €735k – €1.4M | 75/100 | Risk: Moderate | Team conceded 0.24 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (97% of league minutes) | weaker league (0.56); 97% of minutes |
| Nikita Medvedev FK Nizhny Novgorod · Premier Liga | 22% | 31 | GK | €750k | €163k – €540k | €458k – €892k | 53/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.20 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (97% of league minutes) | 3 yrs older; weaker league (0.56); 97% of minutes |
| Michael Verrips FCV Dender EH · Jupiler Pro League | 22% | 29 | GK | €450k | €127k – €524k | €277k – €1.0M | 42/100 | Risk: High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | weaker league (0.65); 33% of minutes |
| Ignacio de Arruabarrena FC Arouca · Liga Portugal | 21% | 29 | GK | €1.0M | €294k – €1.1M | €367k – €1.3M | 50/100 | Risk: Moderate | Team conceded 0.23 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | weaker league (0.58); 47% of minutes |
| Kaique Pereira CD Nacional · Liga Portugal | 21% | 23 | GK | €2.0M | €0 – €1.1M | €485k – €1.4M | 100/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.47 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (82% of league minutes) | 5 yrs younger; weaker league (0.58); 82% of minutes |
| David Volk Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier Liga | 21% | 25 | GK | €900k | €241k – €659k | €453k – €1.1M | 95/100 | Risk: Very High | Team conceded 0.37 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 3 yrs younger; weaker league (0.56); 50% of minutes |
| Juan Castillo Vitória Guimarães SC · Liga Portugal | 21% | 23 | GK | €500k | €181k – €643k | €378k – €1.5M | 81/100 | Risk: Moderate | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 5 yrs younger; weaker league (0.58); 44% of minutes |
| Andreas Hansen FC Nordsjaelland · Superliga | 21% | 30 | GK | €1.0M | €244k – €1.2M | €403k – €1.2M | 61/100 | Risk: High | — | 2 yrs older; weaker league (0.47) |
| Ivo Grbic Fatih Karagümrük · Super Lig | 19% | 30 | GK | €1.0M | €228k – €790k | €444k – €1.4M | 80/100 | Risk: High | Undisputed starter (94% of league minutes); Improving trajectory | weaker league (0.40); 94% of minutes |
| Timur Magomedov Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier Liga | 19% | 24 | GK | €600k | €162k – €454k | €360k – €769k | 97/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.41 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 4 yrs younger; weaker league (0.56); 43% of minutes |
| Vadim Ulyanov RFK Akhmat Grozny · Premier Liga | 19% | 24 | GK | €800k | €318k – €1.2M | €343k – €622k | 81/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.47 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | 4 yrs younger; weaker league (0.56); 41% of minutes |
| Paul Izzo Randers FC · Superliga | 19% | 31 | GK | €500k | €121k – €439k | €328k – €464k | 79/100 | Risk: Very High | Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | 3 yrs older; weaker league (0.47) |